TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Knicks, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,545,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,994,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,545,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Knicks24c206,407$50,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,137.6743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder74c205,635$153,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,521.5766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Knicks23c184,000$41,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,901.6429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks27c170,308$45,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,843.8736549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks26c130,000$33,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,786.4743148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Thunder75c100,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,0008750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…fec3backed Knicks25c88,395$21,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,93310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder80c79,325$63,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,898.741,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Thunder77c52,922$40,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,366.0220744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder75c50,000$37,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,65034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Thunder77c48,633$37,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,316.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Thunder76c46,442$35,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,040.8183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Knicks25c45,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.989018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Knicks25c43,922$10,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,980.5312639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder77c41,221$31,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,494.5759646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Knicks25c40,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.9910239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder76c36,601$27,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,793.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Knicks30c28,901$8,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6992250%11 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Knicks21c27,571$5,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,886.838225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder75c26,601$19,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,615.182,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Knicks22c25,700$5,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,751.9911335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks24c25,411$6,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,152.571,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92fe…99bdbacked Knicks24c25,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe990…dcfcbacked Thunder72c24,591$17,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,885.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Knicks24c24,439$5,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,810.29838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Thunder76c24,297$18,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,835.4416848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x871f…5ac9backed Thunder76c22,732$17,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,508.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Knicks29c20,527$5,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,952.8416346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcae4…e479backed Knicks26c18,257$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.813151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Knicks27c17,900$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8663554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks19c17,889$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.151,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Knicks29c17,241$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Thunder73c16,404$12,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.2610352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Knicks4c15,858$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Knicks25c15,655$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.752025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks24c15,616$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,755.131,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Knicks24c14,780$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.411,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c36…7854backed Thunder75c13,923$10,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.742263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Knicks5c13,576$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65518140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Knicks20c13,099$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…e748backed Thunder76c13,000$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1202352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Thunder79c12,617$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.2517051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder75c12,077$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.663,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Thunder75c12,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed Thunder76c12,000$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8803366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Thunder70c12,000$8,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.9917436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Thunder72c11,500$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,22010949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder76c11,431$8,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Thunder75c11,396$8,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.056744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Knicks29c11,292$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.538532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Knicks23c11,143$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.9934136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder75c10,828$8,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Knicks25c10,015$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.755349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Thunder75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Knicks25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb0…35e3backed Thunder75c9,860$7,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Thunder76c9,829$7,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.884276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Thunder76c9,800$7,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3524551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Thunder76c9,516$7,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.95633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder78c8,935$7,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.618763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Knicks24c8,400$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0164940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks23c8,130$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.053,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder76c7,895$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.7443352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Thunder76c7,766$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.723666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Thunder74c7,703$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.710747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Thunder76c7,607$5,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.578765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Knicks25c7,170$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.5241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Thunder75c7,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7502556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da8…0ee2backed Knicks17c6,982$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Thunder77c6,770$5,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.0410860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba69…8e9dbacked Thunder75c6,689$5,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Knicks17c6,419$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.191520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa56a…3072backed Thunder78c6,005$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.2111555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Knicks26c6,000$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Thunder75c5,988$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.743269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Thunder77c5,954$4,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.0527865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Knicks25c5,732$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43320843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Thunder78c5,614$4,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Knicks26c5,577$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4453441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder75c5,470$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Thunder76c5,263$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.168661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder73c5,251$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.4789444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks14c5,235$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83b…b043backed Thunder76c5,210$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder77c5,195$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.8142348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Knicks29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45023047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Knicks24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Thunder80c4,868$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.638261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d5…db37backed Thunder76c4,605$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.262356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder77c4,589$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.061,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb986…d032backed Thunder76c4,501$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.273554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d5…c6c9backed Thunder75c4,400$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.012560%15 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Thunder74c4,312$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.0629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks15c4,290$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.091,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1520…0ddfbacked Thunder75c4,290$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder77c4,215$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.391,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks0c4,100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Thunder77c4,007$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.625160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…fbfbbacked Thunder76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d5…e577backed Knicks25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.