NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39fc69186f45b4ac4a8d130f395130ee52626d9ae0b9bfe368dccec574baded

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,756 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under	53c	11,456$6,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,384.11	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	47c	9,986$4,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,693.4	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under	53c	9,000$4,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,229.97	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	47c	3,245$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,516.57	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	3,178$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.04	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	49c	2,077$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	48c	2,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.16	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	54c	1,730$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.8	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	46c	1,690$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.36	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	47c	1,323$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.24	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under	54c	1,306$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.56	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	37c	1,284$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	47c	1,200$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	1c	1,189$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.35	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	1,080$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.51	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	53c	1,038$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.72	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	52c	999.91$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.96	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	53c	993.82$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.09	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	19c	752.78$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.49	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over	47c	638.3$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under	53c	458.15$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.33	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over	48c	412.5$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over	46c	388.12$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.93	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	45c	383.6$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.62	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	63c	345.78$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.47	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b01…75dfbacked Over	44c	312.05$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over	12c	247.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.61	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	52c	246.9$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.51	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over	28c	242.71$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.96	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over	46c	180$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.8	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	47c	177.93$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.75	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	47c	174.09$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.73	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	47c	173.77$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.67	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	47c	173$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.31	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under	53c	150.27$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	53c	150.15$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.57	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	46c	133.23$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	72c	132.32$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.05	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	40c	124.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under	50c	119.79$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.9	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	53c	114.6$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.86	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	72c	108.89$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.49	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	135	41.5%56 W · 79 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under	53c	106$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.82	282	43.3%122 W · 160 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	633	53.1%336 W · 297 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	384	64.3%247 W · 137 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	47c	94.92$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.61	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over	47c	93.45$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.92	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	65c	92.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.17	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	30c	92$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	47c	88.73$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over	48c	88.25$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.36	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over	47c	78.76$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.22	264	50%132 W · 132 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe9…071dbacked Over	47c	69.79$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over	47c	69.07$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.46	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over	47c	54.49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.61	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	35c	53.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	205	58.5%120 W · 85 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa616…b8ffbacked Under	66c	45.53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.53	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+5.3wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Over	47c	42.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-8.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over	46c	33.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under	53c	30.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	380	48.7%185 W · 195 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under	80c	28.96$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.79	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a597backed Under	54c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ac…40d1backed Over	47c	21.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x753f…c51dbacked Under	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+76%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5this page
Cason Wallace: Points O/U 7.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Knicks vs. ThunderThunder won
Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Under won
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event