NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9165a912fbf54f9dcae702381dc85ebd23f0aed7484fe9fd23f456fa1f22c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 42c | 11,688$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 58c | 7,321$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.01 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Thunder | 52c | 6,472$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.58 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks | 51c | 3,969$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.58 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Knicks | 57c | 3,490$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks | 50c | 2,397$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Thunder | 51c | 1,967$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.42 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 45c | 1,317$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.4 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 45c | 1,121$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 42c | 991.88$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 61c | 922.24$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Knicks | 58c | 855.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Knicks | 64c | 777.83$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.81 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 48c | 740.41$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.02 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks | 62c | 657.55$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.79 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Knicks | 62c | 655.89$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Knicks | 60c | 585.07$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Knicks | 52c | 548.07$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Thunder | 51c | 527.96$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 44c | 498.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Knicks | 50c | 442.51$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Knicks | 56c | 428.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Thunder | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Thunder | 43c | 403.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.28 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Knicks | 64c | 381.89$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.71 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 44c | 351.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.66 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Knicks | 58c | 342.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 43c | 326.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Knicks | 64c | 311.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Knicks | 64c | 302.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Thunder | 49c | 286.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Thunder | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thunder | 48c | 276.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Knicks | 57c | 263.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Knicks | 56c | 215.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 40c | 205.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Knicks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Knicks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Knicks | 56c | 180.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Knicks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…87b8backed Knicks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 48c | 172.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Knicks | 66c | 165.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Knicks | 64c | 165.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Thunder | 43c | 161.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Thunder | 43c | 161.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Thunder | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Thunder | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Thunder | 41c | 155.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Knicks | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Thunder | 44c | 144.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 52c | 140.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Knicks | 58c | 128.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Knicks | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 58c | 121.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Thunder | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Thunder | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Knicks | 55c | 110.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Knicks | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 43c | 105.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Knicks | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Knicks | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Knicks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Knicks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Knicks | 53c | 95.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Thunder | 57c | 95.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Knicks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Thunder | 42c | 89.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Knicks | 56c | 89.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Knicks | 58c | 86.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…db37backed Knicks | 66c | 86.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Knicks | 59c | 86.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Knicks | 58c | 84.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks | 25c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 45c | 76.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed Knicks | 58c | 73.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Thunder | 52c | 71.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Knicks | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Thunder | 50c | 67.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…dbc9backed Knicks | 66c | 64.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Thunder | 43c | 64.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…a85abacked Thunder | 41c | 61.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Thunder | 44c | 60.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Thunder | 44c | 56.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 43c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Thunder | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Knicks | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 31c | 54.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Knicks | 64c | 52.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Knicks | 38c | 52.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Thunder | 49c | 51.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Thunder | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Thunder | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Knicks | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Thunder | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. ThunderThunder won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.