TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$400,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e6b…5076backed Over51c132,489$67,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,569.35650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under51c30,005$15,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,702.471,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over49c27,226$13,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,367.652661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x866d…4a64backed Under49c18,047$8,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,203.975100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc33b…c48dbacked Over51c17,529$8,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,939.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde90…bababacked Under49c17,481$8,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,915.316100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc728…8f69backed Under49c17,472$8,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,910.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0605…bf96backed Over51c16,592$8,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,461.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc7…f537backed Under49c16,322$7,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,324.226100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbd4…78f8backed Under49c16,308$7,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,317.081181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe002…3a44backed Under49c16,158$7,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,240.58875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…d5d8backed Under49c16,066$7,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,193.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1b7…b429backed Under49c16,047$7,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,183.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick41cpaid+77.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over21c15,718$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa3…743abacked Under49c15,576$7,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,943.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73ae…9518backed Under49c15,504$7,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,907.046100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52a1…6bdabacked Over51c15,469$7,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,889.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6504042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe82d…d914backed Under49c14,995$7,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,647.455100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca3c…6081backed Over51c14,794$7,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,544.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47b7…7c5bbacked Under49c12,805$6,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,530.554100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd481…0237backed Under49c10,739$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,476.894100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3caa…7bc2backed Over51c9,806$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1403…ee9fbacked Under49c9,805$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.555100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa45c…0285backed Over51c9,519$4,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,854.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c8,920$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.367921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c8,398$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,280.5518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over37c7,517$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under73c6,997$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.319954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c5,971$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.231,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Over22c5,190$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.31450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over51c4,598$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.1111241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x784e…c108backed Under49c4,516$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under50c4,179$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.5510860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under50c4,174$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over52c3,860$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c3,341$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.8270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over51c2,895$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.671,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under50c2,894$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.196746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,869$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.124,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7a…c0abbacked Under50c2,424$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2122445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under50c2,124$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.15341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c1,993$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.9464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under49c1,899$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.327241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c1,832$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.192,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c1,479$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under75c1,477$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.561,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c1,297$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.211,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc567…0968backed Over51c1,290$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over22c1,235$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over32c1,203$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.967349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed Over44c1,139$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c1,093$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Over49c1,049$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4412357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over51c1,023$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.6717637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Over18c999.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17517331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over51c878.96$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2723850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce83…6733backed Over51c861$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3d32backed Under49c833$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over52c807.69$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ad…df6cbacked Over51c784$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c775$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over30c763.44$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over17c693.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over16c580$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f2…3d9bbacked Over51c549$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…26d5backed Over51c530$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c527.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c524.86$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c523.48$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Under50c490.88$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.441931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over49c475$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7516849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under79c473.61$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.591,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over51c463$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1311543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c428.72$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3618850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Under49c399.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.995440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d2…5f41backed Under49c378$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over26c367.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14720846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb218…d9a5backed Under49c296$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Over51c292.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over25c274.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over25c272$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6827745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b8…f567backed Over51c265$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under76c265$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c264.37$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under74c258.47$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3821848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95d…c5dfbacked Under49c250.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c246.08$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.462,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c210.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c208$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10326745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.