TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05d5…db37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$44.62
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.09
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$227.63
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$263.76
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$32.23
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.43
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$44.29
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575.08
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,616.7
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,836.35
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,687Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10,635.37
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28,517Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$8,770.37
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.17
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$503
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$520.74
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$404.93
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,029.16
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,948.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,949.51
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.99
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,472.59
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.28
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+189%+$2,780.69
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,333.99
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$5,976.04
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$365.56
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Hawks Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$935.09
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.61
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,419Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$2,063.22
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$151.11
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,304.01
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$311.55
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,033.73
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$1,201.7
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,105.26
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$924.93
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.93
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.68
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.