TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Knicks, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,300,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,296,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,300,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe934…640bbacked Rockets50c329,522$164,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,420.563860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Knicks50c237,699$118,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,849.4266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34b…3b60backed Rockets50c204,587$102,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,293.351346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks1c121,838$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.471,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Knicks46c120,039$55,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,663.158750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks47c99,468$47,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,076.981,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Knicks12c77,429$9,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,122.264257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Rockets50c57,832$28,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,116.1612639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Knicks51c52,412$26,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,730.3248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Knicks51c38,824$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,800.2420758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Knicks26c36,555$9,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,556.0911737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Rockets48c36,302$17,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,735.2332540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Knicks17c35,751$5,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,949.0110239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Knicks34c30,820$10,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,407.0520744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rockets49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,299.9160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Knicks4c26,916$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.655064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets48c24,729$11,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,858.821,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Knicks19c22,691$4,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.144252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Knicks50c20,572$10,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,285.8826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks24c19,931$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,782.771,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Knicks51c19,703$10,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,048.6217962%111 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks1c17,022$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.221,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Knicks7c16,783$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets72c16,610$11,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,655.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Knicks11c16,164$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.9144345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks50c14,656$7,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,327.781,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Knicks0c13,709$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.135728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed Knicks49c13,500$6,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6151931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Knicks51c12,940$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.4241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Knicks51c11,743$5,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,940.5113642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcef…a339backed Knicks50c11,190$5,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,595.092152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cf…55d3backed Knicks15c10,981$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.461323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Rockets78c10,354$8,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.7612251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Rockets49c10,000$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,106.5749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Rockets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0004443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Rockets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Knicks11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Knicks50c9,962$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9816144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Rockets53c9,430$5,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,418.314339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets76c9,418$7,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.353,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Knicks0c8,898$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.095213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rockets48c8,794$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.326547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Knicks51c8,735$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.0511156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets75c8,094$6,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Rockets49c7,879$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,018.3316346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ed…4ed7backed Knicks52c7,770$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.191723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-52.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets79c7,693$6,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Rockets77c7,326$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.0416261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks50c7,115$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Rockets49c6,689$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,411.321675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+96.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Knicks36c6,449$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.493737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Rockets72c6,345$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.7927865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Rockets78c6,016$4,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.2529652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…2451backed Rockets76c5,880$4,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.151776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x646c…4392backed Knicks50c5,692$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8d…a19bbacked Rockets64c5,631$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.733751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Rockets49c5,423$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.883767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca5a…5d29backed Rockets49c5,417$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.661428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Knicks50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Knicks51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.8510236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Rockets47c4,794$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.2525947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Rockets49c4,768$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.612055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks0c4,750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Knicks15c4,506$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.9338143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Knicks23c4,322$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.2380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets72c3,848$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.063,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Knicks35c3,781$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.175633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Rockets49c3,647$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.916440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Knicks51c3,524$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.471070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Rockets49c3,455$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.2546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Knicks6c3,410$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.12330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Rockets79c3,298$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68250338.4%193 W · 310 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…c7e5backed Knicks23c3,028$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.577269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Rockets47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Knicks50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Knicks39c2,937$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14718931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets49c2,926$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.0727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0f…a8b9backed Rockets49c2,896$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.141030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Knicks51c2,855$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.98859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Knicks1c2,802$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.027211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…2023backed Knicks36c2,705$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.79651%49 W · 47 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02a5…cb74backed Knicks53c2,693$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795d…5687backed Rockets48c2,683$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf7b…1659backed Rockets48c2,669$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Rockets75c2,665$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.2712756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7bd…68c4backed Knicks53c2,619$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.91060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec8…c1e5backed Knicks51c2,532$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.381353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Knicks51c2,530$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.362755.6%15 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+25.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c0e…8f37backed Rockets50c2,522$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2613638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3903…7731backed Knicks51c2,501$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.52955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Knicks25c2,420$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.2924937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets49c2,417$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks26c2,359$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.7162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Knicks39c2,327$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.2426444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd262…e939backed Rockets49c2,269$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca56…14b9backed Knicks51c2,224$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc37…8505backed Knicks26c2,221$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.111225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90e8…ba12backed Rockets49c2,213$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.