TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c18,187$9,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,397.721,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c11,875$5,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,462.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c10,018$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,660.921,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under61c3,542$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.993,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c3,047$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.0987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Under56c2,244$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.874269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c2,029$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over46c1,950$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.8787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c1,947$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,936$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under55c1,769$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.0914556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over45c1,606$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.5725641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c1,526$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.172,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c1,275$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.124,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.058859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under66c804.68$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5960444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under60c751.71$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.721,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c699.68$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Over24c651.01$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.324852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c634.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.941,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc37…8505backed Under78c610.77$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.361225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over47c596.38$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.36547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.98844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Under55c525.41$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.445655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under66c486.62$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.453,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under32c425.88$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.626745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over39c421.88$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9417233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over34c404.33$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4714243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Under72c393.28$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.31464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over45c346.59$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over44c291.69$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8216642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under53c283$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Under56c271.4$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5316555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under53c269.72$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over46c215.34$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0616242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7652146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7643447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c204.27$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.011,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c199.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c198.16$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.683,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c197.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over46c195.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.776654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under56c174.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0329554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c163.09$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.651,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c150.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under72c139.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.984156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-19.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over47c138.07$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c132.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over41c129.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3613349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c126.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over40c111.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.151,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over47c109.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over44c102.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4666143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Under33c99.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6714330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f33…a790backed Over45c98.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over43c90.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over18c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7422336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.822942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over48c78.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0711040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over39c76.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Under54c75.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5213052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c73.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.581,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under59c71.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Under56c69.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c69.35$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over48c67.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.329556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over47c61.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.056150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over45c59.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9820249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over46c59.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4113346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c58.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.125,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over47c54.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0214640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under60c54.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.735048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over46c53.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over46c52.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x328c…975cbacked Over40c49.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under47c49.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0611833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over44c48.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over46c48.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x809d…5680backed Over45c45.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a31…f1c6backed Under47c44.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.543721.6%8 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under59c43.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.747248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0158…75a5backed Over46c41.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.163548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c41.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.232,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Over46c40.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over45c37.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over49c37.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.331,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under56c36.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.061,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over35c34.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.168134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over46c32.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9450948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under48c30.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6745544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under54c28.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.281,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4310850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Under54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4320650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under62c26.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1214931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under56c26.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9f…3973backed Over46c25.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.721118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-61.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.