TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Knicks, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4435…0840backed Knicks49c18,399$9,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,015.4226648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rockets51c14,214$7,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,910.431,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks49c11,982$5,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,871.091,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Knicks48c8,948$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,295.246746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks49c8,204$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,019.821,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Rockets53c7,823$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.8112056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets52c7,524$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets51c6,884$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Rockets51c6,188$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.9621350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks47c5,882$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.732,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets73c4,562$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets52c4,379$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Knicks16c4,104$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.8412945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets51c3,794$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rockets51c2,515$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.26547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Rockets53c2,327$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.1858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Rockets52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.4912850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Knicks48c1,505$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.386737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Knicks48c1,274$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.5131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Knicks48c978.79$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.8241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Rockets52c956.85$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.293850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Knicks48c955.74$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.761070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets51c909.03$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Knicks41c894.79$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.648957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Knicks48c811.03$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4712542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Rockets52c563.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3814049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Knicks22c517.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.541,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Knicks49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456934.8%24 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Rockets53c449.23$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1428554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets62c437.3$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Knicks48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks25c398.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Rockets52c388.48$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Rockets52c359.61$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5114145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets51c340.8$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Rockets49c335.89$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets49c335.89$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.31,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Rockets51c327.15$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Rockets53c307.09$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Rockets50c306.97$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Rockets51c302.63$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks48c296.21$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.411,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Knicks49c290.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Rockets64c264.63$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0314243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Knicks33c250.66$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.911,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Rockets52c249.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Rockets52c249.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8113352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Rockets80c246.83$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0462047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Rockets66c238.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9913950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Knicks18c237.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.795736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Rockets52c207.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0614445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Knicks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9428852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Rockets52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Rockets52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.249255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Rockets52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2428949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Rockets50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9741449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Rockets51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Rockets51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2543447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Rockets53c188.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Rockets52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6510249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Rockets54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8338152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Rockets51c179.86$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.131,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Rockets50c179.85$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.931,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Rockets52c175.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3822351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Rockets51c174.71$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6119348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks50c171.77$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.483,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Knicks48c155$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.47454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Rockets52c150.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.262927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Rockets52c143.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.115160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Rockets52c139.85$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1320040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Knicks48c139.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5913848.6%67 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Rockets66c137.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.637051.4%36 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Knicks8c132.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.574852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Rockets52c128.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8620247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Knicks30c128.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3213852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Rockets51c126.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8315650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Rockets52c123.83$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Rockets51c115.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Rockets52c109.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.448658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a41…f2e3backed Knicks50c107.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Rockets71c104.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Knicks48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4436842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Knicks49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4735849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Knicks49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.476333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Rockets53c98.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Rockets52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6211858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Rockets51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5633949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Knicks49c95.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9823840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Rockets51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks49c94.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.531,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Rockets54c94.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5113038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Rockets51c91.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7127050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Rockets54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4211558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Rockets52c80.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6936153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks49c80.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.231,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Rockets51c80.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3213052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Knicks27c79.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.371,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Knicks21c76.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3917233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed Knicks48c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.