NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7736702820d6b7b8ea9519a1868b2e404ef737b22f616d3d53fc6ba1f43a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 50c | 26,400$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200.1 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 50c | 11,593$5,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 9,941$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 2,895$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.37 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 49c | 1,999$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.54 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Under | 51c | 1,848$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.49 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 51c | 824.2$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.86 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 506.07$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 45c | 504.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.08 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 450.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 249.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 238.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 61c | 202.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 190.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 188.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 50c | 160.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 159.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 47c | 147.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…5734backed Over | 38c | 131.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 52c | 130.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 122.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 61c | 118.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 43c | 113.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 48c | 101.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 52c | 100.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 46c | 57.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Over | 50c | 56.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 45.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 38.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 37.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 36.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 32.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 26.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 53c | 23.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Knicks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.