TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over51c125,275$64,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,203.1620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under48c20,051$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,351.086746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Under48c16,421$7,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,53919346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c11,460$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,844.3824045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c11,404$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,848.6370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over51c9,913$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.0249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c7,064$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.3741649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb07…017fbacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d69…00c0backed Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under48c5,873$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.1426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under50c5,647$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.8626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c4,997$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c4,900$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,54814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under48c4,711$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.6130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c4,659$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.871,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under48c4,037$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.078647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over51c4,000$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.836654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c3,111$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c2,925$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.8431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c2,884$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.941,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c2,516$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c2,127$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.741,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c1,915$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.7419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over51c1,913$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.4364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Under49c1,872$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.651070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,700$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.61,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under49c1,539$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.8210651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under47c1,448$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.0414245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c1,369$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.841,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over41c1,312$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3517233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under48c1,287$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.327236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over51c1,211$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.7922948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,114$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.352,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under48c949.62$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.824151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c936.31$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.363,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c891.6$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c657.94$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c643.93$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.061,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c609.38$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over50c393.82$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.915736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19415446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c318.98$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8847436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Over64c305.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6821450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Over65c292.37$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.879153.8%49 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c283.05$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Under48c268.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.082937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c236.5$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over49c201.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c195.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9914046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0628949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.185947.5%28 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x536b…8134backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.182263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under47c181.68$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.292,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c178.68$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.21,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c162.03$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under59c161.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.241,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under59c161.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2413349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over51c160.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under59c157.91$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under59c157.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over50c155.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.682440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c150.14$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c149.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under50c148.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.621743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c135.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.960346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c133.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.941,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c131.9$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.592,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over50c121.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9922249.5%110 W · 112 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c118.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.812,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under49c101.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1420847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5166143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.513038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Over46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.511735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over52c92.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.573641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over44c87.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6625753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under55c81.47$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3314243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c80.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.483,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af8…9a99backed Under70c70.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c69.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.711,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under46c66.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over50c65.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.721,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c62.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over52c58.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.330256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1214444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1411558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c49.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over53c48.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7520144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under51c48.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7820558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.