TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c5,154$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.622,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c3,446$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c3,357$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.221,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under47c2,905$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.923047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under60c2,716$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under39c2,501$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.261,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over40c2,308$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.3111834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under47c2,060$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.814355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over54c2,012$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.166654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over9c1,919$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,781$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.191,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,701$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over58c1,685$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.76764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over47c1,668$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.7542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c1,432$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.973,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under47c1,233$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.171,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over5c1,149$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.431,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,115$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.68844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9128838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c690$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.582,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under72c683.84$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c663.97$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.893,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38f…2589backed Over54c583.44$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over41c567.18$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5717233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over58c559.59$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.317754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c449.56$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.031,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under47c399.95$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c385.68$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5187744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over56c375.55$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.112528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under60c351.4$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.561,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under43c344.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under44c344.5$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Over36c326.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.442231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c326$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16219435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under43c290.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3444551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under43c287.43$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c262.7$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c260.47$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c255.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.091,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c252.36$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.395,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over5c226.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c213.2$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under57c212.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0831345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over51c210.51$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over24c209.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.282,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under47c203.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under46c199.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9928852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over53c199.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9912047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over50c199.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9638242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c188.79$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under40c187.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.613541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Under49c166.37$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.42532%8 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Under61c159.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over53c156$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6834247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under57c152.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3914243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c150.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over63c142.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.449735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over56c139.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.896861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over42c135.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.55736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Under53c132.07$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.511464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under40c130.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.614640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under41c130.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.551647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over62c117.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under56c113.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.146963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c112.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.741,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af8…9a99backed Over44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over21c107.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2322336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over53c104.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2413349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under60c103.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2522948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under47c99.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.671,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under47c94.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0553348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Under46c88.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5813052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Over53c87.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3516651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over47c85.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0819650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over54c79.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4614157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c76.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.342,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under44c74.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5541449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over56c69.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.941861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under47c62.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2816845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c60.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over50c59.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.125463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under47c57.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.026547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over44c57.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.112,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a31…f1c6backed Over44c57.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.143721.6%8 W · 29 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under47c56.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2120249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over52c56.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6111040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1517047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under48c52.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.485851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Over38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.265337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2413346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over54c50.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2362546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…08d5backed Over61c50.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.532347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over53c50.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5623657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over53c49.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.