Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f98c99ba60d03b44297d1e5e5979c10eecaf4d95b5737486ab94a74dca968f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 23,949$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.47 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 17c | 3,529$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 2,898$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.24 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 17c | 2,653$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,859$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 797.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 16c | 749.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Yes | 16c | 727.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…4ac0backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Yes | 8c | 586.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 17c | 552.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 14c | 552.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 17c | 495.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041d…b88abacked Yes | 17c | 431$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 15c | 425$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d5…db37backed Yes | 15c | 400.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…3313backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…3cc4backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 17c | 282.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7063…eb48backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…aa9bbacked Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +334.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 16c | 191.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 12c | 172.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Yes | 17c | 168.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 168$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 166$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Yes | 16c | 161.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 13c | 126.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Yes | 14c | 102.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 17c | 100.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…a400backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e944backed Yes | 16c | 83.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e9fbbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…7205backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…8326backed Yes | 18c | 68.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…de8ebacked Yes | 18c | 64.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7df…093fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…4c64backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.