Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad06dd68a4075ba2ac99fc138f7c1506f236851233b0ec79a130a348af19a82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egyptof Australia, Egypt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,689,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,648,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,689,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,519 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Egypt | 53c | 899,999$476,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422,999.46 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Egypt | 59c | 802,432$475,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327,181.83 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Australia | 40c | 624,585$249,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,833.85 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…90b2backed Australia | 42c | 373,562$155,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,914.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Australia | 42c | 361,177$151,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,919.89 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Egypt | 60c | 300,000$180,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,000.15 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Australia | 46c | 270,300$123,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,828.95 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…419abacked Egypt | 56c | 264,205$148,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,280.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed Australia | 42c | 239,692$100,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,670.84 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Australia | 38c | 168,753$64,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,540.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Egypt | 58c | 168,618$98,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,305.86 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Australia | 41c | 164,429$67,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,902.72 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Australia | 43c | 152,464$65,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,717.97 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Egypt | 61c | 152,000$91,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,002 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Australia | 40c | 150,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Egypt | 57c | 139,359$79,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,407.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Egypt | 63c | 120,369$75,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,476.52 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Australia | 45c | 113,275$51,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,002.93 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…ba32backed Egypt | 59c | 104,864$62,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,713.93 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Australia | 47c | 96,535$45,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,371.4 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Australia | 8c | 88,535$6,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,904.74 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Egypt | 59c | 86,185$51,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,081.69 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Egypt | 55c | 83,164$45,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,176.42 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Australia | 39c | 79,938$31,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,175.92 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Australia | 43c | 77,777$33,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,443.96 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Australia | 39c | 77,776$30,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,332.79 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Australia | 38c | 75,919$29,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,001.53 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Egypt | 64c | 74,874$48,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,788.97 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Australia | 41c | 73,886$30,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,013.95 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Egypt | 77c | 73,499$56,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,625.53 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Egypt | 71c | 72,418$51,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,639.53 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Egypt | 63c | 70,767$44,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,839.57 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Egypt | 59c | 67,344$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,343.73 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Australia | 45c | 62,337$27,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,956 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Australia | 39c | 59,801$23,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,349.14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Egypt | 57c | 57,540$32,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,838.88 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Egypt | 60c | 57,183$34,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,727.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a3…8666backed Australia | 44c | 55,500$24,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,420 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Egypt | 58c | 55,000$31,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Egypt | 56c | 55,000$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,199.98 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…fe05backed Australia | 43c | 54,900$23,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,792 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Egypt | 64c | 54,337$34,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,405.02 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…c8ddbacked Australia | 42c | 52,736$22,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,036.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Australia | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Australia | 40c | 49,999$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.78 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Australia | 43c | 49,510$21,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,222.03 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Egypt | 59c | 48,985$29,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,944.01 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Australia | 44c | 47,934$21,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,198.37 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Australia | 43c | 47,615$20,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,676.08 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Egypt | 60c | 46,163$27,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,672.13 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Egypt | 60c | 45,773$27,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,509.17 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Egypt | 56c | 44,643$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,642.86 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Egypt | 61c | 44,592$27,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,243.05 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Australia | 44c | 44,530$19,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,541 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Egypt | 52c | 42,984$22,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,671.13 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Egypt | 76c | 42,961$32,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,280.75 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Australia | 39c | 42,553$16,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,786.09 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Australia | 41c | 42,133$17,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,112.03 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Egypt | 64c | 40,865$26,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,528.78 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Egypt | 68c | 40,734$27,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,123.46 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Australia | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.82 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Australia | 43c | 36,957$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Egypt | 60c | 36,045$21,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,515.07 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Egypt | 59c | 35,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,199.97 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…cba7backed Egypt | 57c | 34,484$19,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,687.09 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Australia | 41c | 34,095$14,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,008.72 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Australia | 40c | 33,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.97 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Australia | 43c | 32,757$14,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,085.43 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Egypt | 57c | 32,130$18,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,694.98 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Australia | 40c | 30,146$12,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,058.29 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Australia | 41c | 30,000$12,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,239.95 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Egypt | 57c | 29,891$17,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,853.23 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Egypt | 57c | 29,765$16,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,848.11 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Australia | 43c | 29,415$12,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,754.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…8f51backed Egypt | 57c | 29,060$16,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,495.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Australia | 31c | 28,154$8,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,701.38 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Australia | 39c | 28,000$10,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,919.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Egypt | 66c | 27,600$18,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,463.68 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Australia | 41c | 26,620$10,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,896.54 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…2500backed Australia | 4c | 26,385$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Australia | 43c | 25,555$10,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,988.62 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Australia | 43c | 25,478$10,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,955.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Egypt | 56c | 25,190$14,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,083.67 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…bbd9backed Egypt | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Egypt | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.96 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Australia | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.95 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Australia | 40c | 24,361$9,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,744.37 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Australia | 43c | 24,300$10,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,420.97 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Australia | 41c | 24,000$9,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,779.93 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Egypt | 58c | 23,662$13,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,864.77 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked Australia | 39c | 23,000$8,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,970 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…3146backed Egypt | 62c | 23,000$14,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,720 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Australia | 41c | 22,800$9,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,327.96 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Australia | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Australia | 44c | 22,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Australia | 42c | 22,474$9,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,437.97 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Australia | 43c | 22,200$9,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,541.54 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Egypt | 60c | 21,401$12,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,560.45 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Australia | 37c | 21,021$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed Australia | 44c | 20,874$9,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,110.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancethis page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.