Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052c5c089682ce74dcdc07b9f53ace5e0e2294f5337646eee852b8ad85f33839
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 11,165$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 22c | 5,654$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.64 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 15c | 5,127$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 4,900$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes | 13c | 3,736$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…415abacked Yes | 29c | 1,044$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked No | 76c | 978.7$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 714.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 14c | 592.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 72c | 455.79$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…5b4fbacked Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8f…6de5backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 13c | 325.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 5c | 284.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…780cbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 12c | 249.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…a234backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 21c | 210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Yes | 28c | 186.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…72b3backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…99c8backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 77c | 175.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…d792backed Yes | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 13c | 135$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…44bfbacked No | 79c | 126.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 19c | 119.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 17c | 105.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 19c | 102.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Yes | 24c | 101.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…e54fbacked No | 78c | 100.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…cd66backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…26c0backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 71c | 51.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77df…de44backed Yes | 25c | 41.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.