Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x771316627c1537926a96376d82f5c37aa8035bac84e0d76757593d23115ea5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 21c | 33,294$6,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,920.66 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 19c | 13,065$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over | 11c | 5,414$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 16c | 4,456$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.33 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 10c | 3,986$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.14 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 10c | 3,583$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.47 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 14c | 2,720$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.62 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Over | 18c | 2,658$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.55 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 20c | 2,100$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.48 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 1,209$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 21c | 1,204$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…99febacked Over | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Over | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Over | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 21c | 442.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 19c | 407.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 332$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 261.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4681…dbecbacked Over | 10c | 243.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 11c | 225$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed Over | 11c | 224.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…7bacbacked Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…b4edbacked Over | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Over | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 21c | 173.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed Over | 10c | 160.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…009bbacked Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 22c | 149.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…3e68backed Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…03e7backed Over | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…6f63backed Over | 18c | 118.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…1353backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…56a5backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Over | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 27c | 48.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 80c | 26.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Under | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 330 | 59.1%195 W · 135 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 79c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5this page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.