TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$324,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c130,961$81,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,220.162,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under37c70,000$26,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,2006114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c56,994$23,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,041.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over51c22,222$11,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,888.7742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under38c9,097$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.6770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under40c9,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c7,833$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c7,582$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.361,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under37c7,322$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over62c5,744$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under40c5,500$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under25c5,445$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.192,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8505356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c4,656$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under41c4,167$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.6913731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under38c3,656$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.2186452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over60c2,625$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05022441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c2,520$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.34,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c2,323$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca6…00e8backed Over51c1,973$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.091662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c1,857$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.382,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c1,500$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c1,453$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Under39c1,280$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.27834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under39c1,100$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.51,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under38c1,013$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3706759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf9…59d9backed Under52c980.21$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c957.5$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under38c807.92$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.211,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under40c782.88$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under38c780.44$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.213,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under37c718.7$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.431,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c704.02$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.242,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under37c675$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.752,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under37c675$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.752,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under40c659.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.826344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under38c659.33$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.131,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under37c627.59$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Under52c578.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under39c559.9$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x955c…a075backed Over55c547.38$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.326137.7%23 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c515.79$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.961,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under39c513$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.076124.6%15 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under43c505.26$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.321,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53b4…2e88backed Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185319.7%3 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under40c497.5$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under38c470.58$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.164,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over51c465.33$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.752,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over62c402.21$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.847549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over61c378$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.422,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under37c374.26$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4816633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x901d…507abacked Over53c371.49$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.575565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x720a…6869backed Over62c360$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.84820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16217459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under37c336$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.323,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over61c335.9$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13146546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over61c326.23$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2312654%68 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under39c320.51$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc40…af29backed Over56c302.32$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.027042.9%30 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under46c276.44$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.781,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb7…c93fbacked Over80c255$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.515541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Over62c246.16$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.545650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over59c244.48$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2419545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe739…0484backed Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Over48c232.4$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.851050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0393…14b5backed Over58c230.57$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.845761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over62c209.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7910562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over50c207.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under26c207.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.732,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under46c207$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5db…203fbacked Over58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b1…5cedbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b1…797ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Under40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806937.7%26 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under37c194$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.741,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over60c193.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.534250%21 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…7b7cbacked Under52c192.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005667.9%38 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Under48c188.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.677823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over59c167.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.846434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under41c163.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4421937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9312253.3%65 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2935251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.739355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7d…a8fbbacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x834f…f38ebacked Under40c155$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c154.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.062,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under42c151.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.731,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.