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Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,381,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,400,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,381,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 934 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa407…ca38backed Over63c300,366$189,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,832.833458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Under37c249,999$92,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,499.575959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under38c179,999$68,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,399.797949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over62c139,670$86,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,074.7515552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Under37c116,980$43,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,282.65147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over63c106,126$67,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,839.942,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under28c100,472$28,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,132.1620955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under40c78,844$31,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,686.6842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under25c75,000$18,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,711.0925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under29c72,266$20,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,795.971,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under37c45,940$16,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,918.674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c40,362$26,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,938.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under36c33,670$12,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,123.195745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Over63c31,754$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,754.033243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over80c30,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0004178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under33c24,539$8,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,090.6642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under37c22,758$8,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,420.3319345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under35c22,472$7,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,908.031,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over68c21,953$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,953.4116947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under23c21,700$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over63c17,599$11,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,597.821,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over63c15,900$10,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,88314045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under37c15,682$5,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,802.225054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under37c14,927$5,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,502.2113234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over64c14,094$9,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.8449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under39c14,093$5,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,496.117163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Under36c13,900$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.982842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under39c12,327$4,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,827.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under19c12,127$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.783,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under40c11,250$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.985554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over64c9,375$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,37510927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under37c9,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.9750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under37c9,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.9447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under37c9,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.9431851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under33c8,785$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.432,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe055…d86cbacked Over59c8,475$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over62c8,253$5,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.032,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c8,183$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.892,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Under37c7,979$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.193023.3%7 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae95…7adabacked Over63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.512070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under37c7,710$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.391,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under38c7,500$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over63c7,500$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,77540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under37c7,500$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,79048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under37c7,500$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under37c7,200$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.9844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under28c7,084$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.4628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under38c7,065$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.9577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Over72c6,944$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.449148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under28c6,851$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.2832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under37c6,850$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.55740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under20c6,786$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.9133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under20c6,750$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.9358942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over64c6,250$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2508672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under42c5,676$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.092138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over61c5,506$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.2229952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under28c5,225$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Over59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.755034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over67c5,002$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.96848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over71c4,402$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under37c4,400$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,321$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2121314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over79c4,193$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.679848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Over62c4,032$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.267234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Over72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12012647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under20c4,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over61c3,568$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.9721722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over71c3,534$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.8536250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under19c3,442$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.952,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over68c3,348$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.6637223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under1c3,250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over78c3,179$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.7952455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12525228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c3,111$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under35c3,070$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.561,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over76c3,017$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.111,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over62c3,000$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.9937754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over59c2,883$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.0510949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.786556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over62c2,754$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.391,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Under37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over71c2,699$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.5966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over65c2,568$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.2332656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under24c2,557$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.964,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.3721442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under38c2,368$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90012657.1%72 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over61c2,317$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c2,290$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.121,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over58c2,160$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.211155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over71c2,107$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.044568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6f…b001backed Under36c2,100$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.