Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f0e101ce341d76afe0d5abb36d54ff519a3f9b6e3b718666356c90c13b0cb23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 2,841$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 32c | 2,243$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.1 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7348backed Over | 30c | 2,205$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 1,957$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.96 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 309 | 50.8%157 W · 152 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Over | 33c | 763.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 30c | 749.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 678.24$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 69c | 535.31$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.95 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 26c | 455.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 15c | 221.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…99c8backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…a234backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…c93fbacked Over | 59c | 152$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 32c | 147.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 29c | 135$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked Under | 67c | 131.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 67c | 115.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 67c | 94.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 15c | 74.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…45c7backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Over | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Over | 27c | 51.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 68c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 68c | 42.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 40.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…5596backed Over | 79c | 37.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Over | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 70c | 27.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 67c | 25.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 70c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Under | 69c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.