Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef101c56c2ed217a03f31941e23b3b1944944c8593be84b716a724ef9ae8a9f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,512 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	33c	1,724$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.4	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	66c	1,542$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.42	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	65c	1,500$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Over	35c	1,484$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.43	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over	70c	1,429$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.3	175	69.1%121 W · 54 L	+14.4wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over	36c	1,088$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.76	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	34c	917.28$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.71	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	65c	701.8$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Over	33c	499.99$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under	65c	462.91$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.76	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	62c	428.31$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.76	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	45c	395.83$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.82	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	33c	386$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.38	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	67c	377.37$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.87	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	42c	359.11$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.08	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	36c	310.34$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.43	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under	67c	308$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.64	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Under	66c	303.18$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.18	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under	66c	250$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	32c	232.75$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.48	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under	67c	225.37$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.37	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	32c	215$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.32	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	67c	211$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.63	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	51c	181$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.74	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b38…2bbfbacked Over	45c	179.89$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.95	104	50%52 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Over	45c	179.89$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.95	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under	66c	159.29$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.16	195	45.6%89 W · 106 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	30c	156$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	50c	153$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.79	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	63c	142$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.03	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c50…9743backed Over	63c	138.1$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	37c	132$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.72	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over	35c	109.83$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.44	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over	37c	108.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	281	49.8%140 W · 141 L	+19.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	63c	89.23$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.8	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over	34c	83$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under	66c	83$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.22	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	64c	83$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.28	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	67c	79.37$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.47	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	33c	79.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	246	54.1%133 W · 113 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under	66c	76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.84	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under	68c	72$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	34%33 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under	67c	50.6$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.7	295	56.6%167 W · 128 L	+19.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606e…6c86backed Over	59c	46.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.75	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa86f…6ad4backed Over	64c	46.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.06	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0287…38aabacked Over	34c	46.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	74c	44$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.51	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked Over	28c	43.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	44c	43.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.98	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under	67c	42$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.86	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	34c	39.83$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	67c	35.83$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.82	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec75…8786backed Over	72c	34.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-5.6wins	-0.31per pick	70cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	65c	33.67$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	318	53.1%169 W · 149 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under	67c	24.31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.02	187	61%114 W · 73 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under	66c	21.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under	65c	19.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x474b…d7e1backed Under	59c	18.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.47	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under	67c	15.18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt won
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)Egypt won
Spread: Australia (-4.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Australia won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Australia won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)Australia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event