TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,738,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,868,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,738,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 951 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes46c366,886$167,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,111.252,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes45c294,856$133,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,413.0121343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No54c283,649$152,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,674.2956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c145,152$74,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,205.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes49c79,181$38,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,382.1842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c56,511$26,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,208.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes44c49,966$22,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,739.312,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No54c48,000$25,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,919.8632031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No55c44,999$24,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,749.7110056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No0c40,778$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No54c36,350$19,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,628.767642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c34,203$18,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,777.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No51c28,875$14,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,864.9825844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No54c24,881$13,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,496.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No55c24,876$13,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,672.078943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes44c24,802$10,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,818.931,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91f…59ddbacked No55c20,520$11,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2861741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80014449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9615950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed No52c19,231$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No53c19,000$10,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,07014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No52c18,277$9,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,522.621,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes45c17,694$7,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,816.52,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes52c17,254$8,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,256.7420646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36a7…63f1backed No53c17,119$9,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,076.831855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c16,483$8,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,713.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed No54c15,944$8,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6101861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No48c15,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No58c14,239$8,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,255.887143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed No51c13,625$6,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,948.758931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed No57c13,000$7,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,369.9510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No53c12,879$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,825.838938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Yes43c11,513$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,512.893240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No51c11,417$5,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,873.6231851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No55c11,176$6,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,117.294,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed No52c10,766$5,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,556.92437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9929646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes52c9,781$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.6266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed No54c9,773$5,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.233554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c9,668$5,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,293.952,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No55c9,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.964746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No55c8,951$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No55c8,558$4,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,697.351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No56c7,500$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed No57c7,163$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,118.613259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes43c7,000$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,024.975034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes43c6,750$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.556154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Yes50c6,245$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.722347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…15ffbacked Yes47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1801435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.9922451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed No52c5,875$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.999243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No53c5,745$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.8246546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked No51c5,680$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.885846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes44c5,555$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed No51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.834351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes51c4,942$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.6337944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes45c4,730$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.2829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.4425228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No56c3,492$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.717533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes47c3,432$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.0110234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Yes61c3,422$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.886741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No54c3,332$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.2622752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes50c3,200$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.7971939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.496728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4914546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No54c3,189$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72219250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No56c3,144$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.3559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes45c3,142$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.2923224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes63c3,123$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.578235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No44c3,113$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.312,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed No56c3,110$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.598243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88d…d67dbacked No54c3,000$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No7c2,961$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes46c2,900$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56643248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed No52c2,790$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4512450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes54c2,390$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.763544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked No55c2,323$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.4611854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes58c2,319$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.3918056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No52c2,319$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.541,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No21c2,307$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.4358942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed No52c2,250$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1706056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No8c2,250$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes61c2,233$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.7737242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2215650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes46c2,180$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.25315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.914422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d26…5e33backed No53c2,152$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.41757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.664065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked No55c2,110$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.484639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94535036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes55c2,069$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.932,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked No56c2,040$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.626338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked No39c2,013$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No1c2,012$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1221314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Yes61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7803652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No53c2,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.