TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c43,029$33,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,276.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed Over20c27,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4002552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over3c21,834$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c7,696$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under79c5,306$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.337163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over22c5,086$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over21c3,134$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Over13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under73c2,067$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.8523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c2,006$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.652,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c1,983$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.152,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over23c1,933$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.592,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c1,737$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over22c1,669$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.522,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9919944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under78c1,369$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.853,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c1,297$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.313,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over17c1,205$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1192732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over15c1,158$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under79c1,014$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9434751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over18c941$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.451,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over13c846.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over18c685.66$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.054,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11016165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under79c468$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2827744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c447$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.971,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…b613backed Over22c424.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.223956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over34c339.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.622,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over23c293.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.574250%21 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over22c290.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.021,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over18c267.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.191,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b0…af4abacked Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.166170.5%43 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Over22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over22c220$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.428326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7bb…1b01backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over22c211.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.022,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c209$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.793,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe662…8954backed Over23c208.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over23c160$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…8152backed Over22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Over23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308032.5%26 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under79c128.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8b…7529backed Over23c125.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Under78c125.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6878835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…03e7backed Over30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over22c118.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519339.9%77 W · 116 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…4009backed Under78c111.54$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.541070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over16c95.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5982537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under76c88.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7517356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over27c78.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.121,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516231.5%51 W · 111 L-13.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Under78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.113860.9%84 W · 54 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d6…918cbacked Over22c59.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2b71backed Under78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.287100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010614.2%15 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under78c44.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.041,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under80c41.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4963255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over35c40.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3326449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Under70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e47…7ecbbacked Under78c37.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under78c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under78c35.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.031,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under78c34.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under70c33.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over37c31.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.414955%82 W · 67 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under54c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.262,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1a…b251backed Under77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.976066.7%40 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Under76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7423062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8617460.3%105 W · 69 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under75c17.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under78c15.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.251,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under74c14.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8932158.3%187 W · 134 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.