TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c38,465$21,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,503.212,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over57c33,056$18,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,169.232,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over57c23,700$13,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,19122139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under43c22,093$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5008348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over57c17,544$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.8610927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under47c13,061$6,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,158.232,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under43c12,282$5,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,281.2412255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under43c11,500$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.987757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under43c10,000$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2509650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under43c9,633$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,141.9923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under43c8,020$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.6713746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under43c7,000$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.994856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Over58c6,897$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.554161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over58c6,583$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.8310355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under2c5,833$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6727931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.9513234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c4,787$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c4,092$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.561,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7204452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Under44c3,757$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.947848.7%38 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5056749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Under41c3,424$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4046631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over53c2,710$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.982,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c2,557$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c2,542$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.264,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e37…6789backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c2,240$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.033,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8604052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.995554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under41c2,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9824635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Over59c1,671$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.162828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under47c1,644$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.4337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e7…1fafbacked Over61c1,616$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over56c1,508$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.2435244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over58c1,302$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.113,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over56c1,259$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.2112853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Under40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under45c1,139$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under42c1,104$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.734055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50051514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc874…e0c8backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41024247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Over60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over54c992.32$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.767639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…2c61backed Over56c967.86$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.862326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1937223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Under40c869.99$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34816225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under48c824.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under40c813.23$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.297852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under4c766$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Under3c750$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208212.2%10 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under2c749.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c690.56$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.943,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Under44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Over50c667.86$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.932941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over51c666$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3427655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over57c657.45$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c650.4$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.683,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over71c627.57$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9273536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c601.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.952,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x411d…a0b1backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over58c600$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2412123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under2c583$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under41c550.66$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.263,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Under44c548.13$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1811643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3218452.2%96 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3d…cfbfbacked Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9931156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.26947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f3…0fc5backed Under41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010249%50 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over78c405$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.061,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20027028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c375.48$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.682,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8831435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e10…5721backed Under40c312.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515148.3%73 W · 78 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e9…2e39backed Under41c305.4$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510252%53 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under34c304.56$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.782,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf7…f420backed Under10c299.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.34185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over53c287.95$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.343441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under50c286$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1434641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over68c280.23$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.612,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under42c273$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.662,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Under44c261$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.842755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.371,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over51c252.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.