TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over72c72,600$51,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,643.312,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under28c60,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.966114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over72c34,565$24,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,773.92,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c32,675$9,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,528.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under29c17,332$5,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,026.348943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under29c15,716$4,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,561.892,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under28c12,981$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,634.8120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c8,034$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over71c6,622$4,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.3723942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over72c5,524$3,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.614568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c4,379$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c3,631$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c3,266$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.854,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over71c3,185$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.532,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over71c3,171$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.852,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c2,958$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.221,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under29c2,892$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.688938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.930465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c2,814$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.962,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6af…f9cdbacked Over71c1,972$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.832055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under28c1,500$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7216633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c1,459$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…f868backed Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.455662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Over72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8911458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c1,267$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45e…5981backed Over71c1,141$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.962669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under28c999.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca0…9e43backed Over72c951.79$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.51485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Under30c807.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over71c778.71$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7123951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under30c757.94$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.231,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.298254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…511bbacked Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under29c679.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5440736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Under29c650$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.510326.2%27 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa058…d8febacked Under30c625.23$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.571241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5620532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over70c513.47$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.046434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under28c505$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.451315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15017045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Over71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1456258.1%36 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over71c494.28$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2819553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over71c484.85$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.613,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under3c478.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.182,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over70c474.26$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2829558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de8…acc9backed Over71c450.77$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.774776.6%36 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.678037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f65…195abacked Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over68c370.88$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.092,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed Over71c301.62$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.471457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8719442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e9…cf93backed Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under28c290.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Over69c288.88$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.555263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaece…6fcfbacked Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.716538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6910553.3%56 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7813933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe702…1519backed Over71c276.06$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under30c255.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c250.88$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.881,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under28c249.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.223,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…54dcbacked Over71c239.44$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.444748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee3…089ebacked Over71c218.31$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.311973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+47.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under30c215.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7561752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2acd…bd02backed Over72c208.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.292871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Over72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Under30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5921755.3%120 W · 97 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Over69c157.04$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9712828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under30c154.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7132837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Over72c152.78$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.783582.9%29 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over70c149.84$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9512048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d70…9418backed Over72c144.79$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over69c144.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.096272.6%45 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under16c141.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.081,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under14c141.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5317448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8535251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…d4cbbacked Over71c139.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.562548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb7…6b52backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8b…6f0bbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894776.6%36 W · 11 L+7.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xaded…bd59backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b6…7efcbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over72c137.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.58274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over71c135.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.223262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ceb…2162backed Over71c113.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.022958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8a…b2ddbacked Over72c113.26$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.714535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under29c108.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.461,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under21c105.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.322,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under29c105.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.591,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over71c104.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3715667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over71c104$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.169467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c6b…f60fbacked Over72c104$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.