Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d722450ae88a79381dacf67201b7044e0309bc13a615a13dc66f7c72e81c4c7

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,115 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes	77c	3,879$2,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$881.82	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No	62c	1,429$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.93	175	69.1%121 W · 54 L	+14.4wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed No	11c	1,178$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.53	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	15cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes	33c	1,000$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670.13	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	66c	999.9$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.93	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	48c	929.84$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.72	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed Yes	34c	882.35$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.35	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes	33c	811.84$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.75	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed No	67c	737.67$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.24	119	34.5%41 W · 78 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes	35c	571.43$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.43	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No	66c	563.9$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.17	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes	78c	559.06$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.34	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes	37c	542.59$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.59	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f79…dfb6backed No	20c	500.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Yes	65c	462.06$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.06	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	26c	442.33$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.32	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No	22c	388.96$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.71	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	65c	365.19$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.37	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaece…6fcfbacked No	70c	357.68$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	46c	317.65$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.68	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7e…3de7backed No	67c	298.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe168…e559backed Yes	71c	282.49$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.49	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No	67c	264.49$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.76	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed No	64c	253.15$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.02	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	74c	243$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.82	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93a…e867backed Yes	75c	212.3$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.3	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No	67c	200$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Yes	31c	194.35$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.35	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	30c	180.63$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.46	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	36c	175.93$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.89	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	36c	166$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.98	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	47c	163.59$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.28	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fc…3841backed Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	187	50.8%95 W · 92 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No	15c	129$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	102	73.5%75 W · 27 L	+15.0wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbc1f…b5fbbacked No	74c	102.91$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes	34c	102.01$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.33	269	46.8%126 W · 143 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Yes	29c	100$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71	245	40.8%100 W · 145 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Yes	34c	99.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	201	49.3%99 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked No	66c	99.94$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.96	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes	34c	88.24$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	96	12.5%12 W · 84 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No	68c	81.93$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.71	381	55.4%211 W · 170 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2b…f194backed Yes	37c	74$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.88	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	35c	73.49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.82	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb3f…bca1backed Yes	29c	73.39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.89	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3715…9d3abacked Yes	74c	73.39$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.08	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x936a…928bbacked Yes	71c	72.32$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.32	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Yes	71c	70.18$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.18	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+13.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	65c	62.43$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.58	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Yes	27c	60$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.8	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	67c	56$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad1b…1d65backed No	67c	54.78$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes	28c	53.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.46	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…f422backed No	67c	50.45$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee6e…8dacbacked No	73c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0082…c023backed Yes	65c	49.31$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.18	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes	33c	46.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.35	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	65c	43.91$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.54	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93cf…c08abacked Yes	35c	43.8$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.47	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5062…be14backed Yes	34c	43.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.68	238	63.4%151 W · 87 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…0e14backed Yes	35c	42.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.18per pick	41cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Yes	70c	41.43$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	148	66.9%99 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43bf…3f37backed Yes	63c	39.61$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.61	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5793…6977backed Yes	57c	34.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.84	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+12.5wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes	34c	33.01$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.79	232	18.1%42 W · 190 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	73c	31.13$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No	35c	30.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x0e19…270abacked Yes	34c	30$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	251	38.6%97 W · 154 L	-16.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…0797backed No	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8681…4dc4backed Yes	77c	26.12$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.12	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…4da2backed Yes	79c	25.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Yes	55c	20.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	73c	15.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…29f9backed No	77c	14.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?this page
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt won
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)Egypt won
Spread: Australia (-4.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Australia won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Australia won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)Australia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event