TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55b4…29f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Tennis at 50 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5052%26 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.77
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.11
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$40.93
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.21
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.93
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.93
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$57.42
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.58
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$47.28
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.