TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$437,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No65c116,550$75,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,359.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes40c50,000$19,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,887.782,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes33c48,400$15,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,808.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No75c39,309$29,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,997.676634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes42c23,724$10,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,061.4818047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes42c20,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.913543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c19,642$6,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,273.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c15,716$9,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,529.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Yes38c10,714$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.1721333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9722752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd052…fe59backed Yes40c9,768$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9074334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes42c8,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No61c7,685$4,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes43c7,155$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c7,107$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.042,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No61c6,780$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.891,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No57c6,500$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No58c5,722$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.2816546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c5,177$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes43c4,954$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.2424950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…01b1backed Yes43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No58c4,608$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.381,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No58c4,583$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.8684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No58c4,583$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.8625848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No61c3,984$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.6119250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No57c3,844$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.1338026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked No57c3,720$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.5925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes16c3,409$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.696048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No57c3,070$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.11,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes11c2,692$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.12,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No58c2,546$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.181,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00017747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc454…9fcebacked Yes43c2,395$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe4…758bbacked Yes43c2,395$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1a…438abacked Yes43c2,395$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…8f18backed Yes43c2,384$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c9…676ebacked Yes43c2,372$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcf…7a0fbacked Yes43c2,372$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…6c90backed Yes43c2,349$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…ad06backed Yes43c2,337$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Yes43c2,287$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.1810142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Yes43c2,286$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.1911552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4444…3caebacked Yes43c2,279$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes40c2,239$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes32c1,956$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No61c1,944$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.168139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c1,943$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.053,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1c…1ec7backed Yes34c1,861$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.58825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b38…2bbfbacked Yes7c1,795$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6710450%52 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d88…fe5cbacked Yes43c1,628$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c1,543$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.473,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c1,530$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.461,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Yes40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes38c1,488$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.6356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8d…e33abacked Yes35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Yes43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed No63c1,350$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5712753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No61c1,200$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46552455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No58c1,069$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.916065%104 W · 56 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes38c1,015$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.8388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a48…e094backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504630.4%14 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Yes42c969.17$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5352744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No57c964.9$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9147235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No60c948.23$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.658942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes7c937.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.629045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5619…d1f6backed Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002722.2%6 W · 21 L-7.6wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-65.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No57c929$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.4770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa001…c586backed Yes38c924.21$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b9…5699backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1943635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfab…602dbacked No63c864.17$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7576…c698backed Yes14c858.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No72c855.79$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No59c847$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No60c833$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.22,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No60c833$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.22,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Yes28c820.25$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7725741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No59c748.5$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Yes38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2668948.3%43 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes45c683.53$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.596061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed No62c670.64$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8417650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No61c650$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.525844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No66c606.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes32c599.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.687938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No56c586.27$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb916…f248backed Yes43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes32c509.85$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.623729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Yes39c509.32$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.635242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.