TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,266,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,247,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,266,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1da…fefabacked Over51c300,000$154,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,999.934143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c134,271$72,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,780.414,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under47c109,665$51,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,301.6842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Under49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under49c76,353$37,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,939.9617447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over51c67,905$34,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,631.7717949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under48c56,452$27,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,407.0417852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd5…b74abacked Under48c41,832$20,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,752.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Over53c40,704$21,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,573.116546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c33,466$17,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,052.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over39c32,155$12,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,659.992,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Under48c30,549$14,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,885.423360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c30,067$15,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,635.082,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c28,103$13,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,613.622,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over54c28,077$15,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,161.5821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over52c25,000$12,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,95023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over23c20,666$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.6428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under49c19,966$9,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,136.8813543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c17,840$9,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,651.542,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under48c16,792$7,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,792.9612255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under43c16,483$7,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,395.3842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under46c13,687$6,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,368.174348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under49c13,557$6,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,914.0713448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under47c12,034$5,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,377.815054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Under46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4006662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over52c9,934$5,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,165.621,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over49c9,734$4,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,792.556943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under50c9,332$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,679.25554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8308…f13abacked Over58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1604452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Under49c8,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.998453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over52c7,692$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under48c7,293$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.367452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c7,010$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,037.291,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,64010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over51c6,863$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50014546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c6,636$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420.221,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1802931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over49c5,912$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.8810146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c5,883$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.581,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over52c5,775$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.0816546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Over51c5,627$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,87015453.9%83 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Over52c5,300$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7563348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x658a…0d31backed Over58c5,191$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.64757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6507538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9912655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over50c4,934$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.0153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under42c4,881$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.9420844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over9c4,400$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39616946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c4,328$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.782,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over55c4,300$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.9629633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under48c4,144$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15538526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under49c4,100$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09135446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under49c4,083$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.333030%9 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Over47c3,830$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under50c3,800$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9009456.4%53 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over58c3,624$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1005152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under48c3,505$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.432458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under49c3,200$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under48c3,200$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.3247442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4708337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under48c2,926$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.231,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under48c2,922$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.131,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under49c2,800$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over19c2,566$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.2146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under49c2,400$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under48c2,400$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Under42c2,353$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.9926644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over49c2,349$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.1743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Over36c2,224$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80122032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over58c2,103$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c2,055$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.132,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16012738.6%49 W · 78 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over54c1,965$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.7311552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Over51c1,960$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.64447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under51c1,942$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.938041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Over51c1,941$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9909150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Over56c1,900$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.999654.2%52 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Over46c1,836$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.4913837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2adc…7e50backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,674$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.8459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Over57c1,591$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.039767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c1,537$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over53c1,526$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.5252744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.