Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9b5ee73c4eb7c4a4757a0a722a9b7d10547732d10db6b0285e44042e39dd00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,266,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,247,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,266,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1da…fefabacked Over | 51c | 300,000$154,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,999.93 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 134,271$72,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,780.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 47c | 109,665$51,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,301.68 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 49c | 76,353$37,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,939.96 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Over | 51c | 67,905$34,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,631.77 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 48c | 56,452$27,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,407.04 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Under | 48c | 41,832$20,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,752.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Over | 53c | 40,704$21,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,573.11 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 33,466$17,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,052.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 32,155$12,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,659.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Under | 48c | 30,549$14,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,885.42 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 30,067$15,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,635.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 28,103$13,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,613.62 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 54c | 28,077$15,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,161.58 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 52c | 25,000$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 23c | 20,666$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.64 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 49c | 19,966$9,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,136.88 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 17,840$9,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,651.54 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 48c | 16,792$7,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,792.96 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 43c | 16,483$7,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,395.38 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under | 46c | 13,687$6,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,368.17 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Under | 49c | 13,557$6,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,914.07 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 47c | 12,034$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.81 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Over | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 52c | 9,934$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,165.62 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed Over | 49c | 9,734$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.55 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under | 50c | 9,332$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…f13abacked Over | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Under | 49c | 8,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 7,293$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.36 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 7,010$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.29 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Over | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 6,636$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.22 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 49c | 5,912$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.88 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 5,883$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.58 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 52c | 5,775$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.08 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Over | 51c | 5,627$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 52c | 5,300$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658a…0d31backed Over | 58c | 5,191$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Over | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 50c | 4,934$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.01 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 42c | 4,881$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.94 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 9c | 4,400$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 4,328$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 55c | 4,300$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.96 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 48c | 4,144$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 49c | 4,083$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.33 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Over | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 58c | 3,624$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Under | 48c | 3,505$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 48c | 3,200$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.32 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 48c | 2,926$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.23 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 48c | 2,922$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.13 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Over | 19c | 2,566$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.21 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Under | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.99 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Under | 42c | 2,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.99 | 266 | 44%117 W · 149 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 49c | 2,349$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.17 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Over | 36c | 2,224$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 58c | 2,103$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 2,055$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.13 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 54c | 1,965$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.73 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…2ed4backed Over | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 51c | 1,942$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.93 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Over | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Over | 56c | 1,900$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.99 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Over | 46c | 1,836$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.49 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…7e50backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Over | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 1,674$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.84 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Over | 57c | 1,591$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.03 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 1,537$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.03 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 53c | 1,526$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.52 | 527 | 44.4%234 W · 293 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5this page
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.