TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c68,848$40,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,396.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over31c14,156$4,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3492763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over47c13,332$6,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,288.2319038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over55c4,900$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6821,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c4,769$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under69c3,811$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.554,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c3,414$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.282,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over23c2,986$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.052,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under70c2,780$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.782,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over55c2,370$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.619750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c2,082$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over58c1,583$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c1,394$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.743,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Over25c1,300$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216637.9%25 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c1,089$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.982,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Over56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010757%61 W · 46 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over20c1,015$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c999.3$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.462,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over35c981.38$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.552,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c939.41$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.591,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over56c927.94$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c751$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.532,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c711.24$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.613,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over56c686.55$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.4710142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over55c672.55$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.911552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6711443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over57c599.98$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under44c548.76$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.261,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c542.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.562,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under44c531.43$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.631,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over56c529.44$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7213729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under41c497.62$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.61,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a48…e094backed Over30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.914630.4%14 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over16c368.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4548328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.68560%51 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012558.4%73 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over58c300$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.561,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over48c288$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.621,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x898c…e4c3backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Over57c245.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Over30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over56c212.45$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9715949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over42c209.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11023343.3%101 W · 132 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.648550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under55c187.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over47c181.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under54c180.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.11,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c162.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over63c153.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1821341.3%88 W · 125 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over20c141$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.222623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2874…9fd7backed Over35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under72c123.19$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Under41c116.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9512038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under54c116.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.821,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Over46c113.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.178140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over60c106$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0737950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over57c96.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1617659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over56c90.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under47c85.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.142853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa2…241fbacked Over54c76.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over48c76.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.432,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Under44c73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8817432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over48c72.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.591,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over19c68.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9616549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over38c67.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7539648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Over30c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.758429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4a…3026backed Over53c55.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.286746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c54.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.423,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over56c52.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0821247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Over56c51.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1136448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under76c49.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9378234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over30c46.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149534.7%33 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4796…d6cabacked Over56c46.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612759.1%75 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over57c44.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.519055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bf…8ecebacked Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.45550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under47c37.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0950950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa539…235cbacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010147.5%48 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1173…3cbebacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6deb…dd13backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204060%24 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Under51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3716344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over59c29.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.352,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de8…acc9backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154776.6%36 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.446243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under60c24.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8854956.8%312 W · 237 L+1.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over56c20.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3678559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Over57c18.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7816740.7%68 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.