Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4dc3fe0569729a94c134d9662fbfe3b5f47430d0f1397e132d995f6aeaafad3

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,276 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	22,087$9,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,218.24	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	66c	11,795$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,799.89	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	34c	2,277$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,497.75	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	70c	2,028$1,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,419.38	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over	67c	1,771$1,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,186.89	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.67	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	48c	1,172$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.21	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over	66c	1,137$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over	64c	781.25$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	272	36%98 W · 174 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	48c	701.54$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.08	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	36c	694$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.16	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Over	66c	626.36$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.49	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	19c	622.92$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.51	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	33c	600$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	78c	571.09$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.57	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	66c	566.05$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.6	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under	34c	499.99$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.99	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over	64c	310.94$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	37c	300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Under	79c	253.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.86	125	58.4%73 W · 52 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Over	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	207	8.2%17 W · 190 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over	64c	238.57$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.68	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under	36c	211.82$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.92	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+9.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	51c	203$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.73	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	32c	181.43$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.98	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	32c	169.58$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.94	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Over	69c	142.05$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.35	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa2…241fbacked Over	66c	128.79$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	41c	121.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.47	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	65c	120$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.85	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf9…229ebacked Under	34c	118.8$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.41	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	67c	109.88$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.62	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over	34c	105.09$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.73	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under	34c	103$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.98	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe103…4aafbacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Over	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	33c	92.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.66	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Over	66c	90.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.66	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	66c	88.12$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.98	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under	35c	85.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over	64c	84.38$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	126	54%68 W · 58 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf73b…c326backed Over	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdc…0e26backed Over	68c	73.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over	71c	61.76$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.01	379	50.1%190 W · 189 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	65c	60$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd793…49b0backed Under	75c	59.89$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.89	101	65.3%66 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc845…13b2backed Under	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+5.3wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	64c	59.7$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Over	69c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Under	37c	48.65$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	63c	47.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	32c	44.1$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.98	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	66c	44$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under	36c	38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.41	509	50.7%258 W · 251 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4660…61a3backed Over	50c	35.31$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over	66c	35.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	258	57%147 W · 111 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	34c	33.61$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over	66c	29.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	381	55.4%211 W · 170 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	66c	28.88$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under	60c	23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over	66c	21.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c6f…5daabacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	102	63.7%65 W · 37 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	65c	18.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ca…2f70backed Over	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	84	59.5%50 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Over	70c	14.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5this page
Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Australia (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Australia (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Australia won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Australia won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event