Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa57ed749fa70bf7b4c10d5c43a983cbd70e87f64b75792b84dfddc661879b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 80c | 8,840$7,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 79c | 6,616$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.45 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 21c | 6,349$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 15c | 5,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 23c | 4,095$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.84 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 3,553$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 2,422$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 21c | 2,333$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 21c | 2,190$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.75 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 21c | 1,301$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 22c | 1,230$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 78c | 886.28$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 79c | 689.94$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 20c | 656.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 10c | 612.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 79c | 591$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 22c | 522.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 79c | 485.25$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…67f5backed Over | 21c | 257.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Over | 23c | 219.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed Over | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…f771backed Over | 11c | 190$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 78c | 176$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 79c | 158$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 20c | 157.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 80c | 156$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Over | 10c | 149.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 21c | 127.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…be2bbacked Over | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 79c | 96.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Over | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 79c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 78c | 66.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…0e1dbacked Over | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…0c9bbacked Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…5952backed Over | 22c | 49.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 78c | 32.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 79c | 28.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Under | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.