TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c18,768$13,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,234.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over54c13,212$7,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c11,293$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.713,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under74c11,005$8,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.62,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under47c7,415$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.1723949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over22c7,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9821631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over52c6,250$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.989525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c5,914$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under45c5,773$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.694856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over21c4,673$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over51c3,888$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under79c3,174$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.918856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under48c3,158$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.399440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over53c2,541$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.71,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under45c2,520$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.9864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under47c2,096$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.4520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,827$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.512,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under47c1,724$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.794055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over53c1,661$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Under44c1,447$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.45843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1114946.3%69 W · 80 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c1,020$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.052,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under63c900.02$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.1269534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under44c772.14$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over22c742.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16022932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over58c709$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7727227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over12c701.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9912528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c640$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32510340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4051backed Over33c602.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under46c599.98$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.991,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5610448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under47c546.25$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5170750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Over27c509.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3522032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under45c504.21$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.811552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over55c500.44$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.241,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over55c488.03$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.421,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Over55c480.93$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.519446.8%44 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c472.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4422731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c425.82$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.181,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over51c415.61$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.791,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x203c…fc48backed Over45c410$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over4c374.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over54c342.59$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18527637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c337.6$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.772,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3311443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over55c322$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.113351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under53c321.41$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over53c311$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8315246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15652455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Over56c282.14$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over14c266.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c264.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.683,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over45c259.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.422153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c256.37$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.773,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b68…cdb2backed Over40c251.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008051.3%41 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Over8c236.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.79833.7%33 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f9…5c3dbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40b…8dcbbacked Over24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505137.3%19 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3314…67f5backed Over48c204.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under45c202.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.092751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Over48c201.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.216225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over55c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10931156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under48c199.56$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7716452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over53c186.84$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.212,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2854…927cbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008161.7%50 W · 31 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0196…ccebbacked Over8c176.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.824148.1%116 W · 125 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over55c137.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4623940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over31c133$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.862,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over54c132.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7250146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over55c131.28$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.431,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over55c122.19$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.391,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under43c119.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.332855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Over14c115.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9122633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over21c106.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.631,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2055…2a7abacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.178850%44 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Over49c102.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9911044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8239…466cbacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3528164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010954.1%59 W · 50 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5439951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over42c98.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9928149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under48c85.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4229639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Under44c79.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7933847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.