TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$675,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$662,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c75,926$40,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,918.272,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under25c67,902$17,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,677.7364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over42c48,034$20,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,078.426428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c38,507$18,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,823.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under23c30,426$6,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,431.3729740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under20c23,687$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,067.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under50c22,890$11,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,46525844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under45c19,060$8,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,428.4220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over33c18,182$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.0549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c13,795$5,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,932.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Over80c12,500$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under29c11,500$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,164.984431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over50c10,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.987538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over55c9,567$5,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,217.3777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Under51c9,227$4,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.352040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under21c8,584$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,805.5517949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over75c7,964$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under50c7,415$3,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.3710441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e90…ce0dbacked Over0c6,475$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.456147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over80c5,240$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,174.171,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Under51c5,147$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Under20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00015740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over79c5,000$3,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9612655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over41c4,853$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.9463544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda33…daccbacked Over50c4,706$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3761338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over74c4,468$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.941,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Under49c4,048$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.453754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04027845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Over80c3,895$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1002969%20 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Under51c3,745$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.12437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c3,553$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under66c3,534$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.82,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Under49c3,453$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.925554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Under48c3,330$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.943865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over76c3,253$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.6469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c3,185$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.52,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedc…2173backed Over79c2,781$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Over48c2,610$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.037342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over46c2,604$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.5125339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under52c2,550$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2339243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25022139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under52c2,488$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.466056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over67c2,447$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.744,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Over28c2,387$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2422032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over77c2,261$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.4734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07812241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Over80c2,060$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64814860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked Under20c1,975$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.983740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Over79c1,899$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.58540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over50c1,828$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91133544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e8…afdbbacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Under68c1,726$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.324740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over41c1,707$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Over40c1,674$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6664746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under57c1,649$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.1616953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Under52c1,646$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.152450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over80c1,559$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over80c1,559$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.26061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under26c1,503$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20010356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Over67c1,482$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over69c1,476$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.4413461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Over73c1,372$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.817540.6%71 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under52c1,367$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.245846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under40c1,341$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.9313448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Over50c1,304$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c1,303$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.542,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5797…8636backed Over79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011232.1%36 W · 76 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over43c1,262$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6746230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081b…1c6abacked Over80c1,144$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9152060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under20c1,135$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over17c1,119$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19021048.1%101 W · 109 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over56c1,091$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.196647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over50c1,049$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.7214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over25c1,000$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1228526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013349.6%66 W · 67 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea96…693abacked Over80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014940.3%60 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Over55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.996637.9%25 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over46c999.98$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9917040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over65c992.99$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.4825741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.387025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under18c868.16$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.061,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Over50c853.02$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.561533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under20c844$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3314…67f5backed Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898c…e4c3backed Over37c814.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a48…e094backed Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924630.4%14 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Over50c800$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over58c781.83$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.216543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under18c771.35$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.9958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda10…1028backed Over68c733.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.774647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Over69c706.61$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.062176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick74cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under51c666.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6719744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over50c661.86$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.8123558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.