Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Australia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0038083fba6b4c0a4e49963e9f67c4e0a333c8886d7d8b007263ac79ac908925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paraguayof Australia, Paraguay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Australia | 6c | 16,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Australia | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Australia | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Australia | 7c | 6,518$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Australia | 8c | 5,625$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Australia | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Australia | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Australia | 8c | 4,032$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Australia | 7c | 3,592$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Australia | 7c | 2,207$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Australia | 7c | 2,201$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Australia | 7c | 2,150$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Australia | 7c | 1,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Australia | 9c | 1,679$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…f8afbacked Australia | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Australia | 7c | 1,351$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Australia | 8c | 1,267$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Australia | 7c | 1,211$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Australia | 9c | 1,062$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Australia | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Australia | 4c | 997$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Australia | 2c | 784.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Australia | 3c | 745.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1cbbbacked Australia | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…f6e0backed Australia | 8c | 599.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Australia | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…a805backed Australia | 7c | 532.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Australia | 5c | 526.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ad44backed Australia | 2c | 518.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Australia | 8c | 440$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Australia | 4c | 429.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Australia | 7c | 351.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Australia | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed Australia | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…4ddebacked Australia | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Australia | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Australia | 7c | 270.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Australia | 5c | 265.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Australia | 7c | 261.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Australia | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Australia | 7c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 257 | 41.6%107 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Australia | 6c | 219.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72f…58cfbacked Australia | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Australia | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Australia | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Australia | 7c | 199.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Australia | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Australia | 7c | 140.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)this page
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Australia (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.