TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe72f…58cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category WNBA at 50 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$330.6
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$417
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$248.09
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.73
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.65
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spread: Australia (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$112.91
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.95
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$346
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.31
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.39
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$211.17
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+147.9%+$115.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$387.04
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dartbacked Mina Hodzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.