MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec11c542abad626523247adb33c9a26eb8cf174896cef44f1df9e128e99a5d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 197,456$110,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,532.68 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 66,666$29,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,332.96 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 39,459$22,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,097.23 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 18,497$8,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.23 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 17,675$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,898 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 13,518$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.6 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 13,145$5,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,360.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 12,118$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.72 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 11,802$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,230.9 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 10,232$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.19 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 7,166$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.59 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 6,242$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.5 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 6,089$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 5,366$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.9 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 4,854$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.65 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 4,759$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.81 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,414$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.84 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,258$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.42 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 3,693$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.23 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,644$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.64 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,356$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.61 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,168$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.62 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,947$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.11 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 2,919$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,508$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.21 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,321$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.35 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,256$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.35 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…1acfbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,909$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,494$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.19 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,431$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.42 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,308$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.18 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,046$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.43 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.44 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 999$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 997.75$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.74 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 917.51$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.53 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 903.41$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 872$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.32 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 872$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.15 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 823.53$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.28 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 820.47$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.43 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 796.72$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.16 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 786.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 746$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.76 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 729.78$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.89 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 717.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 711.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.92 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…dc6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 667.06$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 613.51$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.43 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 597.29$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 596.25$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Boston Red Sox | 4c | 563.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 556.33$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…a1ffbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…6516backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 466.59$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.68 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 430$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 425.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…6d56backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 417.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 414.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 404.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 339.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…b8f2backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 338.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 314.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 314$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 297.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 293.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 282$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 275.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 272.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 272.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 271.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 240.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 240$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 233$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 197.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 191.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 190$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 188$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 185.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 181.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 168.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.