TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe741…6d56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$4.42
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.03
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.02
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$39.34
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$74.16
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$99.03
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.98
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$318.67
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.64
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$175.83
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.98
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$85
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$229.32
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$200.2
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$13.32
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$225.43
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.65
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Billy Harrisbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Targu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passarobacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$32
Plovdiv: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Maxim Mrvabacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$127.86
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$29.55
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Pedro Martinezbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.2
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.