MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727b8c788239944b9b46d7e4bb2e93358da89c03903331aeb90d88f0c8ca2619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 86,210$38,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,700.34 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 52,659$24,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,176.78 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 39,998$20,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,990.83 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 32,644$17,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,954.38 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 28,160$14,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,657.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 28,159$13,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,948.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 21,243$9,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,471.4 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 19,456$8,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,506.5 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 19,044$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 17,815$7,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,304.29 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 16,907$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,129.52 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 15,078$8,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,712.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 13,542$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.63 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 11,515$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,161.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 9,522$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.88 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 7,930$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 6,231$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 6,166$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.29 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 5,466$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 5,390$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.7 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 5,337$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.13 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 5,321$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.07 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 5,188$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.52 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 4,799$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.62 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 4,380$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,918$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.64 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 3,206$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.17 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,999$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.42 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…5af9backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 2,947$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,888$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.03 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,143$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.77 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,591$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.92 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,398$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.77 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 1,393$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.7 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,253$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,228$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,190$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.16 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,163$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.36 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,103$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.72 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,084$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.09 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,040$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 999.97$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.61 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 921.92$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.93 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 868.9$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.21 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 853.22$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.12 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 806.86$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8922backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 759.94$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 738.66$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.1 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 657.59$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 654.54$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 639.89$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.76 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Texas Rangers | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…6d56backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 520$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…fcf7backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 516$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…eaeabacked Texas Rangers | 5c | 480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 470.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 451.39$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 451.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.32 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…ea1dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 429.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.22 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 420$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 396.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 393.27$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 370$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 345.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 327$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…5baebacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 323.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…fb88backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 315.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Texas Rangers | 6c | 307.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 305.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 299.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.