MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4f94b804d7203fbb644541015b5a17f0f3cce5c9899a99a0ae7259dafb05a9

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over	52c	39,097$20,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,767.87	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	48c	9,000$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,320	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	48c	8,881$4,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,262.88	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	48c	3,798$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830.07	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	48c	3,136$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,506.09	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under	47c	2,933$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.52	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	2,918$1,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.66	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	47c	2,758$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.39	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	64c	2,003$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.53	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.97	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	1,831$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.11	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	48c	1,796$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.08	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	48c	1,667$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.16	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over	53c	1,509$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.43	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	51c	1,176$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.47	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under	51c	972.57$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.32	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under	3c	620.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	746	57.8%431 W · 315 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	64c	515$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.6	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	53c	497.91$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.96	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	452.93$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.41	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	48c	425$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.1	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	111	38.7%43 W · 68 L	-11.0wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under	52c	351.29$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.51	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	41c	326.67$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.74	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	53c	325$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.34	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Over	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	296	56.1%166 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over	49c	285.83$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.77	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Under	47c	255$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.85	226	38.5%87 W · 139 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	64c	186.06$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.98	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Under	50c	171.54$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.77	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	50c	152.06$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.03	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	50c	132.34$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.17	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over	49c	111$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.61	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	52c	107.49$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.9	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e9…03a5backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over	52c	101.2$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.58	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…bb2dbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+79.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over	52c	93.02$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.65	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	43c	90.21$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.87	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under	64c	88.52$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.65	231	40.3%93 W · 138 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c4…b937backed Over	24c	83.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.33	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+4.1wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under	64c	75$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	430	43%185 W · 245 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	28c	72.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Over	51c	69.09$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.76	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	67c	65$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.25	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	49c	61.66$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.45	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	49c	59.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	49c	55.85$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.52	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under	64c	48.18$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	48c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	49c	42.35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	273	45.4%124 W · 149 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	49c	42.35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	445	53.5%238 W · 207 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over	49c	40.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	443	45.6%202 W · 241 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over	52c	34.77$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.69	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Over	52c	34.04$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under	49c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	392	50.3%197 W · 195 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	53c	31.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	1,014	50.4%511 W · 503 L	+52.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	48c	29.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	390	53.6%209 W · 181 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under	49c	29.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	420	47.9%201 W · 219 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	51c	28.69$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.96	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	53c	26.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	777	52.1%405 W · 372 L	+36.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb5…051abacked Over	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over	50c	24.78$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.39	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over	53c	23.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.88	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under	53c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	352	48%169 W · 183 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4927…deaebacked Under	64c	20.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-7.7wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Under	53c	20.26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Under	64c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	160	57.5%92 W · 68 L	+12.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…7b57backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
San Diego Padres vs. Texas RangersSan Diego Padres won
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)San Diego Padres won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event