TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8e9…03a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$149.06
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.18
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$70.65
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.29
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$90
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.43
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.36
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$614.29
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Robin Montgomerybacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Polina Iatcenkobacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katherine Sebovbacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Henry Searlebacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$177.12
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Mallorca Championships: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Busebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemundbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.38
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$27.52
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$17.99
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sunbacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$101.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+168.2%+$87.8
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.13
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+93%+$88.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.