Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Christopher O'Connell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe87cb4de9393f2eaf1f11bdc5f01163f0a3655b3f0c075320dbb75536a653d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Christopher O'Connellof Bernard Tomic, Christopher O'Connell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bernard Tomic | 5c | 3,260$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 1,320$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.14 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 1,287$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Christopher O'Connell | 65c | 1,207$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.16 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bernard Tomic | 9c | 1,051$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bernard Tomic | 35c | 1,024$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.52 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Bernard Tomic | 32c | 839.75$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 727.75$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.79 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Bernard Tomic | 32c | 666.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Bernard Tomic | 3c | 636$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bernard Tomic | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Bernard Tomic | 5c | 543.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bernard Tomic | 31c | 357.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 345.9$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Bernard Tomic | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bernard Tomic | 34c | 239.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Bernard Tomic | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bernard Tomic | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e9…03a5backed Bernard Tomic | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 151.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bernard Tomic | 35c | 135.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Christopher O'Connell | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Bernard Tomic | 34c | 114.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Bernard Tomic | 31c | 109.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Christopher O'Connell | 63c | 95.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Bernard Tomic | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Bernard Tomic | 18c | 77.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Bernard Tomic | 25c | 67.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bernard Tomic | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bernard Tomic | 32c | 61.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Bernard Tomic | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Christopher O'Connell | 65c | 47.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Bernard Tomic | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Bernard Tomic | 36c | 44.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Bernard Tomic | 33c | 39.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Bernard Tomic | 32c | 39.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Bernard Tomic | 34c | 38.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Christopher O'Connell | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Bernard Tomic | 32c | 36.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bernard Tomic | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 28.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Christopher O'Connell | 65c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.