TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$812,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$847,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c131,831$77,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,088.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Under52c130,373$67,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,682.494341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c130,298$62,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,222.4377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over37c80,000$29,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,451.8942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under62c46,865$28,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,874.762,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under58c24,871$14,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,422.164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over43c24,095$10,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,639.811,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over46c21,525$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,525.463151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c19,724$8,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,111.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa2…11fdbacked Under1c14,354$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over47c11,693$5,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.021,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under62c7,000$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,339.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under56c6,816$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.558332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Over41c5,776$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,423.514647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Over36c5,555$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.472711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over43c5,507$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.5627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over60c5,452$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.7932656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under49c5,328$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.4936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under51c5,100$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6004027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Over41c5,041$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.341070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over42c4,928$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.3158642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c4,241$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under58c3,478$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over37c3,440$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.98237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over46c3,329$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over30c3,171$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.8626949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over76c3,166$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.7130054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over44c3,049$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.0798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Over34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9807044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over50c2,935$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.441,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedef…03b6backed Under59c2,919$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.4240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-64.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over10c2,735$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.822,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Over41c2,713$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.882133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under75c2,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under56c2,575$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4421338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick66cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Under50c2,332$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.829036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over41c2,223$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.3511851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over43c2,200$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.9914051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over31c2,196$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.351,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e10…5721backed Under58c2,156$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.5315148.3%73 W · 78 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under48c2,072$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.4837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c1,974$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.292,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over61c1,971$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2238819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over32c1,942$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.7387651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over42c1,937$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.2124555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under56c1,875$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.831844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over44c1,873$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.2231545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over27c1,869$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.4859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c1,780$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f44…27cabacked Under45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006530.8%20 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over63c1,740$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.6110949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Over47c1,722$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.855747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under47c1,712$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.5244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under39c1,709$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.1733843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over40c1,700$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02615044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under60c1,700$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02014433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under15c1,609$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.341,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over59c1,525$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.429348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under58c1,488$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.031723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under26c1,471$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5321759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Over55c1,400$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under22c1,382$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over41c1,360$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.410146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over28c1,313$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.991,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c1,225$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.359845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda89…6a2dbacked Over41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.741233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over41c1,160$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.414463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over34c1,153$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.7443230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under34c1,099$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.051,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeac…4170backed Under5c1,085$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over49c1,085$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.7428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under46c1,070$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.397041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Over73c1,050$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2312254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under39c1,013$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5119946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4309242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea08…6ba0backed Under70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over9c999.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under55c999.98$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over10c960.4$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.3622919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under49c951.65$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Over65c905.34$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4225753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5317338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b6…58b6backed Under62c894.05$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+74.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under22c889.51$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1526…bad2backed Under59c888$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.831346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under27c887.42$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over57c881.36$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9810355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over40c873.52$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.664,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.