Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a990a3a631076a1bb87ee8553362ae86d8b41fcafeb1992a28eeb31fed1fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,364$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.18 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…850fbacked No | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 18c | 1,633$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.04 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,375$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.03 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 78c | 1,199$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.03 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 73c | 760.03$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.72 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 20c | 700$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.2 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 527.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.48 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 18c | 510$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 509.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 442.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.01 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…7c96backed Yes | 18c | 441.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.15 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 73c | 294.44$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…d321backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…efc1backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…943bbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 16c | 211.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked No | 80c | 186.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked No | 57c | 176.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eae…be0bbacked Yes | 23c | 172.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 141.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 24c | 122$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 117.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 18c | 111.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 19c | 106.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 71c | 106$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed No | 76c | 100.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cb…d4d1backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c321backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 28c | 89.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 29c | 83.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 73.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 18c | 70.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 17c | 60.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 64c | 59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…f5bbbacked No | 74c | 40.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 44c | 38.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 75c | 32.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 18.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Sweden won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.