Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4782a4e3729ffb78897bd10385119385aa6b7c66393d20c509d5473c58f38a5

Rebuilt 21 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,996 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	35c	10,872$3,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,765.44	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	61c	6,256$3,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,411.63	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	66c	4,222$2,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.04	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under	3c	3,699$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.6	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over	65c	3,183$2,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.13	115	61.7%71 W · 44 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	66c	2,577$1,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.27	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under	36c	2,509$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.14	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	35c	1,983$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.61	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	76c	1,449$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.44	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	34c	1,371$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.06	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	36c	1,188$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.91	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bba…d7b8backed Under	36c	1,112$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	78c	1,083$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.86	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under	39c	1,076$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.63	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd32f…4f71backed Over	65c	999.97$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.99	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	34c	878.74$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.96	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under	18c	751.87$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.81	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under	4c	625$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	70c	599.99$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.5	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over	60c	555.55$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.93	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	65c	545.58$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.28	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	77c	524.22$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.19	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked Under	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	68c	490$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.44	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	34c	433.46$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.03	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	34c	302.47$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.03	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	36c	277.23$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.1	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over	68c	255$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over	68c	255$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	66c	249.12$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.7	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	63c	241.05$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.19	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	34c	238.89$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.56	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	37c	235.19$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.02	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over	65c	184.62$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-7.3wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Over	67c	151.72$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.72	148	31.8%47 W · 101 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over	66c	151.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.54	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	61c	150$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	67c	149.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.33	286	46.2%132 W · 154 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	61c	145.1$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.59	289	64.4%186 W · 103 L	+42.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	35c	140.74$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	311	49.5%154 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	36c	111.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	296	39.9%118 W · 178 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over	66c	107.58$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.58	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under	34c	99.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	36c	97.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	327	40.7%133 W · 194 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	61c	96.74$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.73	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	62c	96$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.22	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	35c	86.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.12	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	35c	86.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.12	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe39a…efc1backed Over	66c	83.33$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.33	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked Under	35c	82.21$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	61c	80.56$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.42	274	66.4%182 W · 92 L	+28.8wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under	36c	77.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	162	31.5%51 W · 111 L	-13.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58e8…ea18backed Over	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	56cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	221	47.5%105 W · 116 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over	66c	75.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	66	65.2%43 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	61c	72.55$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.29	258	65.9%170 W · 88 L	+40.1wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over	66c	66.67$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.67	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6621…22ccbacked Over	66c	60.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Over	66c	57.58$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	93	66.7%62 W · 31 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9667…d519backed Under	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	65c	55$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over	66c	50.47$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	63c	44.8$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.37	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	34c	40.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	37c	38.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	631	52.9%334 W · 297 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3296…2597backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	186	37.6%70 W · 116 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	363	29.8%108 W · 255 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cab…8de4backed Under	34c	29.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	87	32.2%28 W · 59 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over	64c	24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	133	51.1%68 W · 65 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Over	65c	23.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over	66c	22.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	88	64.8%57 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Over	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Sweden won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Sweden won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event