Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed219eb959082e783a237cef3fdefeae24a6eb43909e05c69855bddfaa3873be

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,968 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under	73c	4,972$3,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.42	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	75c	2,394$1,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.84	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	19c	2,285$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.79	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	38c	2,088$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.22	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	1c	2,065$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	22c	2,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	23c	1,830$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.07	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	22c	1,820$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.64	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	34c	1,737$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.21	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	22c	1,259$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.39	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under	78c	1,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	161	65.8%106 W · 55 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	22c	944.23$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.73	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	21c	643.97$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.22	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf1…ffbdbacked Under	59c	607.47$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.21	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Under	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a2…dcaabacked Under	58c	481.54$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.54	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over	42c	470$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.4	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	30c	452.98$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.9	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	31c	409.53$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.22	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over	48c	409.23$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	79c	400$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	17c	363.73$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.11	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	13c	355.17$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.55	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	34c	274.79$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.28	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over	46c	267.43$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	78c	227.1$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.9	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0b…a859backed Over	45c	218.43$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Over	24c	200.67$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.16	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	76c	200.67$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.16	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under	78c	190$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over	48c	183.33$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	78c	180$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	23c	142.36$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb163…6062backed Under	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4003…f1dabacked Under	79c	126.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	154	48.1%74 W · 80 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea4…69acbacked Under	55c	126.13$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.76	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	33c	125.37$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf11f…1158backed Over	27c	121$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	22c	119.54$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under	76c	104.62$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	165	56.4%93 W · 72 L	-17.5wins	-0.11per pick	67cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over	13c	104.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Over	10c	101$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	60c	93.13$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under	55c	90.18$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.68	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	21c	75.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	79c	75.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa321…a72abacked Over	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	76c	65.54$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.73	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under	78c	61.06$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	91	74.7%68 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	76cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over	18c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	399	32.6%130 W · 269 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	42c	59.83$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	78c	58$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	78c	58$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under	76c	54.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ee…bc1abacked Under	66c	53.18$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.18	138	51.4%71 W · 67 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	77c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Over	24c	45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	345	44.1%152 W · 193 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	78c	40.72$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.05	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Over	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	171	49.1%84 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Under	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	225	50.7%114 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Under	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	-12.3wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	75c	26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb84…8bbdbacked Under	78c	22.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	77c	22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.06	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Under	55c	21.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.62	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	78c	18.67$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.18	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under	70c	18.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	429	52%223 W · 206 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	69c	15.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.78	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae7…f4cdbacked Under	79c	14.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.08	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a0…6e74backed Under	78c	14.17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.08	55	80%44 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	76cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…c4debacked Under	78c	14.05$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.09	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Sweden won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Sweden won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event