TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,111 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over66c3,000$1,970 inWon+$1,030.011,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Under37c1,085$400 inLost-$4002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under33c1,009$333 inLost-$332.976253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2eac…6c20backed Under35c562.86$197 inLost-$197966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under35c437.87$153 inLost-$153.259947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under60c266.71$160 inLost-$159.743,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c227$125 inLost-$124.892,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under55c217.72$120 inLost-$1207656.6%43 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x094d…5a65backed Under59c170.06$100 inLost-$100650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Under10c100$10 inLost-$1012145.5%55 W · 66 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under56c68.21$38 inLost-$38.226537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under55c60.38$33 inLost-$33.442,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over35c36.7$13 inWon+$23.857630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over36c30.75$11 inWon+$19.6820553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under60c23.66$14 inLost-$14.082,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.