TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$442,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$470,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c151,836$67,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,569.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over38c35,587$13,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,063.8342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over52c26,587$13,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,877.7615552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over79c21,029$16,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.3920547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over36c19,598$6,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,601.7477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c18,576$8,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,916.3612146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c17,948$8,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,422.621,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over32c13,388$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,074.41,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c9,572$6,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,703.342,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c9,412$5,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.583,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over75c8,324$6,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.5419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over69c6,676$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.121,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c6,072$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under31c5,780$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.7830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under77c5,416$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,170.6153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over23c4,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.8315650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,255$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5521314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over23c4,026$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.0928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under23c3,936$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.331,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Over67c3,786$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.393855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c3,750$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…5aebbacked Over73c3,720$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.52070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over23c3,478$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.2689443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over52c3,210$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.788254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under54c3,060$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.5727345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over23c2,609$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under78c2,521$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.325143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under26c2,303$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.911,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over51c2,074$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.7236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Over77c2,040$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.814553.8%78 W · 67 L+14.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x230f…9ff4backed Under1c2,034$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.345044%22 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c2,009$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.462,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Over76c1,974$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.689045.6%41 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over23c1,798$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.812,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Over75c1,713$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.138160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over75c1,667$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.746334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…0088backed Over77c1,625$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.21450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over23c1,522$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.7445428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Over53c1,489$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.927431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over62c1,486$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.5287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over57c1,387$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.881,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d7…761dbacked Over71c1,360$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.93828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3517462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…6a32backed Over23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.351850%9 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Under78c1,299$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Over52c1,290$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.675145.1%23 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac8…986fbacked Under78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Over79c1,263$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.13887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28832642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under64c1,176$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9516153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x499b…fadcbacked Under5c1,156$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over61c1,147$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c1,125$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae3…a161backed Under64c1,070$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under23c1,061$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0916325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e10…5721backed Under24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015148.3%73 W · 78 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under29c1,032$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over76c1,007$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5936539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under1c1,001$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c1,000$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.821,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7707153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under24c983.89$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6523036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under52c969$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.632,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…513ebacked Under53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006023.3%14 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Under23c923.64$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.468035%28 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Over38c921.05$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0512634.9%44 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a09…f868backed Under65c916.26$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Over77c909.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.098951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under37c891$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.856352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.576330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under25c865.82$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2957541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over31c831.8$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.7625865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Under63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4711851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.474337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over76c780$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.218449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Under29c777.47$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5913830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Under65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under77c760.52$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.652,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under52c752$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4946445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over40c743.23$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2443230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c717.75$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.872,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3bb…3661backed Under28c714.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under77c709.58$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.381,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under78c697.44$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54422355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under77c678$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.391,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.353171%22 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f6…9ba1backed Over77c644.02$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.992352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c3…38bcbacked Over76c619.82$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.763046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under8c600$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.62,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.