TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Sweden (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Swedenof Sweden, Tunisia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$628,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$659,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Sweden21c81,085$16,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,408.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia72c62,115$44,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,882.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Sweden13c35,967$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,467.4819644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sweden8c31,603$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,059.0974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Tunisia66c31,296$20,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,601.9177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sweden11c28,249$3,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,111.164,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sweden23c17,031$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,132.151,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sweden8c13,665$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,571.825848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Sweden10c10,704$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,588.392,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Tunisia72c10,278$7,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,393.3110550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Sweden9c7,256$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.871,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Sweden11c5,825$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,184.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Sweden8c5,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tunisia56c4,307$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Sweden33c3,965$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.1558642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Tunisia59c3,835$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.641723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tunisia73c3,488$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.884,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Sweden15c3,390$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.7535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Tunisia74c3,033$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.4263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Sweden9c3,000$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.583,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Sweden49c2,833$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.362,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sweden15c2,576$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.341,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sweden26c2,516$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.842,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…2e70backed Sweden41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.0219817.2%34 W · 164 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sweden8c2,348$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.13,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Sweden37c2,336$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.921,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Tunisia6c2,304$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.725719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Sweden18c2,244$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.0146012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Sweden10c2,224$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.141,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tunisia71c2,087$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.582,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Tunisia6c2,065$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7442126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Sweden31c2,037$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.7843230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tunisia18c2,036$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.011,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Sweden31c2,014$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.396732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Sweden50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Sweden14c2,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Sweden10c2,000$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.373,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d5…db37backed Sweden33c1,946$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.243458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Sweden10c1,879$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.471,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tunisia15c1,634$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.352,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Tunisia64c1,552$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.118871.6%63 W · 25 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Tunisia73c1,366$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a4…a11dbacked Sweden10c1,300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1682429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Sweden8c1,250$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.0836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Sweden39c1,221$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.713830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe960…a960backed Sweden41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.512437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Tunisia45c1,204$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.9585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Sweden10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Tunisia60c953.41$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.1825753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Sweden16c915.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.1249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Sweden35c858.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.875651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Sweden26c850$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.54926.5%13 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Sweden10c834.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.246546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Sweden18c826.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.5311632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sweden38c752.96$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Sweden19c750.36$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.629654.2%52 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Sweden29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6611333.6%38 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Sweden21c666.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6718626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tunisia18c615$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.471,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Sweden21c577$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Tunisia69c566.87$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.271,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Sweden26c566.12$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.932524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Sweden14c521.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.4322436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bf…8e4bbacked Tunisia61c508.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.012516%4 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Sweden11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Sweden10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae5a…3c0cbacked Sweden21c484.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.621631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Sweden11c451.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.713721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Sweden31c450$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.51040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255e…5456backed Tunisia70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006055%33 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tunisia51c406.74$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.892,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Tunisia51c403.98$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4346445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Sweden71c391.2$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Tunisia6c354.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Sweden17c352.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9412517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Tunisia63c336.3$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Sweden17c318.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.36266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Sweden11c318.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1818548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Sweden76c317.27$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0718056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Sweden19c312.78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.431,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Sweden11c272.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7316538.2%63 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Sweden22c271.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.41,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Tunisia70c266.49$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5642952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…f2e1backed Tunisia76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006325.4%16 W · 47 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Sweden31c258.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.066227.4%17 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1606…9a7cbacked Sweden40c250.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.255637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sweden8c250$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.381,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d3…1719backed Sweden40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509238%35 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0156…8bbbbacked Sweden10c246.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.49850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0005…6d3cbacked Sweden20c244.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.444934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdce1…ff6fbacked Sweden41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Sweden21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.145445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Sweden23c230.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1763255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066d…8e11backed Sweden11c210$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.94535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Sweden9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Sweden10c200$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1811,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Tunisia60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207330.1%22 W · 51 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Sweden27c194.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.768855.7%49 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Sweden21c190$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.372,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Sweden11c181.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8237323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.