TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c8,422$4,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under41c8,000$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over61c3,407$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.7313454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Under42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c1,165$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under40c1,107$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.162,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over60c999.2$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.6864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c825.24$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.373,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under40c812.5$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3252532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under41c788.03$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.092,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over61c777.64$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2812349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c748.01$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.783,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24047648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over60c599.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c558.35$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.034,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under41c477.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.971,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3bb…3661backed Over61c470.3$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.422352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Under49c429.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c407.8$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over76c382$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under43c341.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.451,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under41c329.25$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79aa…1168backed Over61c324.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.595341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over61c322.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.898652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b2…ecfbbacked Over55c272.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.912020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under42c227.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4570948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87f…c8c3backed Under47c216.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.919544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under17c200.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8219345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under40c193.12$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.326537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Over55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8212452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Under44c180.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over66c178.72$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.12,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over60c150.12$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0545445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c138.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.312,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Under40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230344.2%134 W · 169 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under40c126.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Under42c119.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under40c111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.42,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under40c101$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under40c101$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f29…4048backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0a…8461backed Under40c88.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.233836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under41c81.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Under41c73.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306443.8%28 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under44c71.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22733.3%9 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+81.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea4…69acbacked Over60c71.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.723132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6546247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Under45c61.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.68541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90c…775abacked Under40c61.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over60c61.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4542952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Over60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.339863.3%62 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under38c51.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6133350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde6…1fcebacked Over57c51.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5afa…df73backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3912661.9%78 W · 48 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a3…4fdabacked Over61c47.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba9…8098backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over60c37.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under41c35.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over61c35.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.831,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Over62c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334544.1%152 W · 193 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c34.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under39c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8741344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7912253.3%65 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3578…8c5fbacked Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.264438.6%17 W · 27 L-8.9wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-43.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…1017backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.755040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under42c29.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.422,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over59c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6647744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7a…6345backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c1…6b9dbacked Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae7…f4cdbacked Under41c24.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under42c24.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2468…3280backed Under47c23.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Under50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d00…d3c7backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84351.2%22 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over58c18.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7397…1968backed Over58c18.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.533158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over62c16.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2420850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.