TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7397…1968

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Patricia Georgiana Goina vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Patricia Georgiana Goina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echarguibacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kingston: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$23.5
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernetbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworthbacked J.J. Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardybacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF Landisville: Yeon Woo Ku vs Mai Hontamabacked Yeon Woo Ku · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$18.43
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4734%16 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+290.6%+$37.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+218.6%+$64.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+773.6%+$352.79
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+305.1%+$124.45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$69.16
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+429.6%+$81.11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$23.71
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.76
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.9
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$11.59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$11.3
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$11.2
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.42
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$9.32
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$32.24
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$42.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$22.11
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.7
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$19.51
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$11.33
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$13.6
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$7.43
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36.9
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$61.74
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+119.2%+$43.15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+80.2%+$8.9
LoL: Diversion Gaming vs ⁠Ethereal Enigmas (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+62%+$8.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4.95
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+48.4%+$6.52
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+67.2%+$10.05
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52.7%+$6.9
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.6%+$5.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.43
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.05
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+509.4%+$218.9
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+145.6%+$17.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick14cpaid+155.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+54.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+171%+$18.8
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$15.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.