Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c2d49665ab4bac36e685d801e733341b7e28cd2a17463864f218f0405c2b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tallon Griekspoorof Tallon Griekspoor, Matteo Arnaldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,029,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,104,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,029,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 52c | 94,081$49,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,079.16 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 68,666$22,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,218.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 63,333$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.93 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 50,519$29,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,096.47 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 26,418$17,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,355.27 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Tallon Griekspoor | 76c | 20,050$15,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Tallon Griekspoor | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…c9d0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 19,388$7,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,142.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 52c | 18,215$9,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,769.68 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Tallon Griekspoor | 63c | 16,411$10,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.05 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 15,944$5,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,891.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 66c | 15,879$10,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.02 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Tallon Griekspoor | 78c | 14,325$11,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 13,948$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.21 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 12,177$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.49 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 64c | 10,409$6,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.09 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 9,587$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 68c | 8,899$6,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.02 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Matteo Arnaldi | 74c | 7,643$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.52 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 7,037$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.74 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Tallon Griekspoor | 72c | 6,000$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.11 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 5,739$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.35 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 59c | 5,535$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.17 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 5,458$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.35 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tallon Griekspoor | 35c | 5,133$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.53 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…5c64backed Matteo Arnaldi | 73c | 5,075$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Tallon Griekspoor | 41c | 5,000$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tallon Griekspoor | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 4,329$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.25 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Tallon Griekspoor | 31c | 4,065$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.77 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Tallon Griekspoor | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.25 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 4,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Matteo Arnaldi | 73c | 3,949$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.4 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 3,931$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.77 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 3,428$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Tallon Griekspoor | 44c | 3,271$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.48 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 67c | 3,262$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.9 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Tallon Griekspoor | 66c | 3,258$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.58 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 3,000$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.68 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 7c | 2,821$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 2,820$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.2 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Tallon Griekspoor | 56c | 2,667$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.32 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 2,598$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 27c | 2,467$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.67 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Tallon Griekspoor | 44c | 2,286$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.61 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 2,216$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 2,125$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.03 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 61c | 2,035$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.93 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 46c | 2,004$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.18 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Tallon Griekspoor | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 1,942$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.28 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 1,912$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 1,855$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Tallon Griekspoor | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 1,782$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.16 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,780$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.02 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Matteo Arnaldi | 18c | 1,696$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.47 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Tallon Griekspoor | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 1,689$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.34 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,585$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.38 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Matteo Arnaldi | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 58c | 1,520$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.62 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Matteo Arnaldi | 14c | 1,473$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 1,465$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.26 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Tallon Griekspoor | 66c | 1,449$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Tallon Griekspoor | 66c | 1,443$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.68 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…d706backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 1,350$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 56c | 1,349$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.86 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,236$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Matteo Arnaldi | 16c | 1,200$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Tallon Griekspoor | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tallon Griekspoor | 36c | 1,170$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.84 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Tallon Griekspoor | 60c | 1,169$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.56 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,061$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.57 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 1,016$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.27 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…b884backed Matteo Arnaldi | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Tallon Griekspoor | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…4c29backed Matteo Arnaldi | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 5c | 999.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Tallon Griekspoor | 66c | 984.85$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 949.56$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.84 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Matteo Arnaldi | 72c | 949$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.28 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 935$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…1cfabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 887.63$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Tallon Griekspoor | 60c | 873.82$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.53 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Tallon Griekspoor | 67c | 849.99$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 829.93$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs ArnaldiArnaldi won
- Set 2 Winner: Griekspoor vs ArnaldiGriekspoor won
- Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)Arnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.